Real Madrid v Villarreal
Real MadridReal Madrid won 3 of the last 54thVillarrealVillarreal won 2 of the last 59th
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Real Madrid | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 5-0-2 | W-D-L | 2-2-3 |
| 2.14 | Pts / game | 1.14 |
| 2.57 | Goals for / game | 1.86 |
| 1.14 | Goals against / game | 1.71 |
| 86% | Over 2.5 | 86% |
| 71% | BTTS | 86% |
| 14% | Clean sheets | 0% |
| 14% | Failed to score | 14% |
| 3-0-0 | Home record | 1-0-2 |
| 2-0-2 | Away record | 1-2-1 |
| L1 | Streak | W2 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Real Madrid · Villarreal
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 14.0 | Shots | 17.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Shots on target | 7.3 |
| 3.0 | Corners | 7.3 |
| 3.00 | Cards | 1.00 |
| 7.0 | Fouls | 8.7 |
| 42 | Possession % | 62 |
| 1.95 | xG | 3.16 |
| 2 matches | sample | 3 matches |
Conceded
| 14.5 | Shots | 12.3 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | Shots on target | 4.7 |
| 2.5 | Corners | 3.0 |
| 3.00 | Cards | 2.00 |
| 20.0 | Fouls | 11.7 |
| 59 | Possession % | 38 |
| 1.56 | xG | 1.53 |
| 2 matches | sample | 3 matches |
Form comparison
| Real Madrid | Metric | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to headFull record →
- Real Madrid wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Villarreal wins
- 0
- Goals / game
- 3.00
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- Both score
- 50%
- Villarreal v Real Madrid0–22026-01-24
- Real Madrid v Villarreal3–12025-10-04
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 | Barcelona won 5 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 | Atletico Madrid won 4 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 16 | Real Betis won 3 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 15 | Real Madrid won 3 of the last 5 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 | Sevilla won 2 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 | Alaves won 2 of the last 5 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 | Deportivo La Coruna won 2 of the last 5 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 | Real Sociedad won 3 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 | Villarreal won 2 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | Athletic Club won 2 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | Getafe won 1 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 | Rayo Vallecano won 2 of the last 5 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 | Osasuna won 1 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 | Celta Vigo won 1 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | Espanyol won 1 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 7 | Racing Santander won 2 of the last 5 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 | Levante won 1 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 | Elche won 1 of the last 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | Valencia won 1 of the last 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 | Malaga won 0 of the last 5 |