Rayo Vallecano v
Villarreal
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Rayo Vallecano | Villarreal | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Played | 11 |
| 3-3-4 | W-D-L | 3-3-5 |
| 1.20 | Pts / game | 1.09 |
| 1.50 | Goals for / game | 1.36 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game | 1.36 |
| 70% | Over 2.5 | 64% |
| 80% | BTTS | 64% |
| 10% | Clean sheets | 9% |
| 10% | Failed to score | 36% |
| 3-1-1 | Home record | 1-1-3 |
| 0-2-3 | Away record | 2-2-2 |
| W1 | Streak | L1 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Rayo Vallecano · Villarreal
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 17.6 | Shots | 17.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4 | Shots on target | 5.7 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 7.3 |
| 3.00 | Cards | 2.11 |
| 11.6 | Fouls | 10.7 |
| 59 | Possession % | 61 |
| 1.51 | xG | 2.12 |
| 5 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Conceded
| 13.6 | Shots | 9.9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.2 | Shots on target | 3.9 |
| 4.6 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 3.30 | Cards | 3.50 |
| 15.0 | Fouls | 11.6 |
| 41 | Possession % | 39 |
| 1.30 | xG | 1.12 |
| 5 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Form comparison
| Rayo Vallecano | Metric | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Rayo Vallecano wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Villarreal wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 3.00
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- Both score
- 0%
- Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal2–02026-05-17
- Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano4–02025-11-01
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +34 | 30 | Barcelona won 4 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 28 | Atletico Madrid won 5 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | +18 | 27 | Real Madrid won 4 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 23 | Real Betis won 2 of the last 5 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 | Real Sociedad won 4 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 18 | Sevilla won 1 of the last 5 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 15 | Athletic Club won 2 of the last 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 14 | Deportivo La Coruna won 1 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 13 | Alaves won 0 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | Villarreal won 2 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | Celta Vigo won 2 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 | Rayo Vallecano won 2 of the last 5 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 12 | Getafe won 2 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 | Espanyol won 1 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 11 | Osasuna won 1 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 11 | Racing Santander won 1 of the last 5 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 | Elche won 2 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 | Levante won 1 of the last 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 9 | Valencia won 1 of the last 5 |
| 20 | Malaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 5 | Malaga won 0 of the last 5 |