Racing Club v Aldosivi

19th2–129th

00:15 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Racing Club		Aldosivi
17	Shots	20
6	Shots on target	2
0	Corners	6
10	Fouls	8
3	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Offsides	5
494	Passes	354
58%	Possession %	42%
2.34	xG	1.78

Over 1.5: 71%
Over 2.5: 44%
Over 3.5: 23%
Both score: 47%

Model pick: Racing Club 51%
Likely score: 1-0 13%
Expected goals: 1.54 – 0.90

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Racing Club	51.5%	1.94	1.72 Betano	58.1%	-6.7
Match result	Draw	26.9%	3.71	3.80 BetVictor	26.3%	+0.6
Match result	Aldosivi	21.6%	4.64	6.70 Betano	14.9%	+6.6
Total goals	Over 1.5	70.6%	1.42	1.37 Betano	73.0%	-2.4
Total goals	Under 1.5	29.4%	3.40	3.40 Bet365	29.4%	-0.0
Total goals	Over 2.5	44.1%	2.27	2.20 Betfair	45.5%	-1.4
Total goals	Under 2.5	55.9%	1.79	1.80 Bet365	55.6%	+0.4
Total goals	Over 3.5	23.0%	4.36	3.90 Betano	25.6%	-2.7
Total goals	Under 3.5	77.0%	1.30	1.30 Bet365	76.9%	+0.1
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	47.3%	2.12	2.20 Bet365	45.5%	+1.8
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	52.7%	1.90	1.80 Bet365	55.6%	-2.8

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Racing Club favoured against Aldosivi

Our model makes Racing Club 51% to win this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture, with the draw at 27% and Aldosivi at 22%. The goal projection is 1.54 for Racing Club against 0.90 for Aldosivi — a substantial edge to Racing Club on expected output. A combined 2.44 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 44% and both teams to score at 47%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 13%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-0 13%; 1-1 13%; 2-0 10%; 0-0 9%; 2-1 9%

This season

Season records for Racing Club and Aldosivi
Racing Club		Aldosivi
34	Played	32
10-10-14	W-D-L	3-10-19
1.18	Pts / game	0.59
1.03	Goals for / game	0.69
1.18	Goals against / game	1.41
44%	Over 2.5	34%
59%	BTTS	50%
24%	Clean sheets	22%
29%	Failed to score	44%
5-5-6	Home record	3-8-5
5-5-8	Away record	0-2-14
L1	Streak	L2

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Racing Club · Aldosivi

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
11.0	Shots	12.3
3.8	Shots on target	3.1
5.3	Corners	3.4
2.83	Cards	2.57
13.0	Fouls	13.3
56	Possession %	45
1.20	xG	1.01
6 matches	sample	7 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
13.7	Shots	17.4
4.0	Shots on target	5.1
4.7	Corners	5.3
1.83	Cards	1.86
10.3	Fouls	10.3
44	Possession %	55
1.69	xG	2.08
6 matches	sample	7 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Racing Club	Metric	Aldosivi
1.60 (better)	Goals scored	1.20
1.60 (better)	Goals conceded	2.00
1.19	Expected goals (xG)	1.21 (better)
	Big chances
4.50	Shots on target	4.60 (better)
11.50	Total shots	14.80 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
6.50 (better)	Corners	4.00
57.5 (better)	Possession %	49.8
430 (better)	Passes	356
	Tackles
12.50	Fouls	11.80 (better)
1.50	Offsides	1.40 (better)
	Throw-ins
2.25 (better)	Yellow cards	2.80
0.00 (better)	Red cards	0.50

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Racing Club wins: 2
Draws: 1
Aldosivi wins: 0
Goals / game: 2.00
Over 2.5: 33%
Both score: 67%

Racing Club v Aldosivi2–12026-10-31
Aldosivi v Racing Club1–12026-04-19
Racing Club v Aldosivi1–02025-10-17

Liga Profesional Argentina table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Rosario Central	35	19	9	7	+19	66	Rosario Central won 5 of the last 5
2	Argentinos JRS	35	18	11	6	+12	65	Argentinos JRS won 3 of the last 5
3	Boca Juniors	33	17	13	3	+23	64	Boca Juniors won 4 of the last 5
4	River Plate	36	19	5	12	+19	62	River Plate won 3 of the last 5
5	Gimnasia L.P.	34	18	6	10	+4	60	Gimnasia L.P. won 4 of the last 5
6	Belgrano Cordoba	36	16	11	9	+10	59	Belgrano Cordoba won 1 of the last 5
7	Independ. Rivadavia	33	16	9	8	+10	57	Independ. Rivadavia won 1 of the last 5
8	Velez Sarsfield	33	14	14	5	+13	56	Velez Sarsfield won 2 of the last 5
9	Instituto Cordoba	31	16	6	9	+11	54	Instituto Cordoba won 3 of the last 5
10	Lanus	32	13	10	9	+8	49	Lanus won 2 of the last 5
11	Estudiantes L.P.	33	13	8	12	+10	47	Estudiantes L.P. won 0 of the last 5
12	Barracas Central	32	12	11	9	+4	47	Barracas Central won 3 of the last 5
13	Defensa Y Justicia	32	12	11	9	+3	47	Defensa Y Justicia won 2 of the last 5
14	Independiente	33	12	11	10	+1	47	Independiente won 1 of the last 5
15	Huracan	34	11	13	10	+2	46	Huracan won 1 of the last 5
16	Union Santa Fe	34	12	9	13	+3	45	Union Santa Fe won 2 of the last 5
17	San Lorenzo	33	10	12	11	-7	42	San Lorenzo won 2 of the last 5
18	Gimnasia M.	32	11	8	13	-7	41	Gimnasia M. won 1 of the last 5
19	Racing Club	34	10	10	14	-5	40	Racing Club won 1 of the last 5
20	Sarmiento Junin	32	12	4	16	-8	40	Sarmiento Junin won 0 of the last 5
21	Tigre	32	9	12	11	+3	39	Tigre won 2 of the last 5
22	Talleres Cordoba	33	10	9	14	-3	39	Talleres Cordoba won 1 of the last 5
23	Newells Old Boys	31	8	13	10	-9	37	Newells Old Boys won 1 of the last 5
24	Platense	32	8	12	12	-7	36	Platense won 3 of the last 5
25	Banfield	32	8	9	15	-9	33	Banfield won 1 of the last 5
26	Atletico Tucuman	32	7	11	14	-6	32	Atletico Tucuman won 1 of the last 5
27	Central Cordoba de Santiago	31	6	8	17	-24	26	Central Cordoba de Santiago won 0 of the last 5
28	Deportivo Riestra	32	3	14	15	-15	23	Deportivo Riestra won 0 of the last 5
29	Aldosivi	32	3	10	19	-23	19	Aldosivi won 1 of the last 5
30	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	32	3	5	24	-32	14	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 1 of the last 5