Predicted Edge

Quick Boys v Eemdijk

Quick Boys won 1 of the last 14–0Eemdijk won 2 of the last 3

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Quick Boys Eemdijk
24Shots10
13Shots on target0
9Corners2
9Fouls9
0Yellow cards2
—Red cards—
3Offsides2
548Passes232
70%Possession %30%
3.70xG0.47
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
50%
Both score
68%
Model pick
Eemdijk 58%
Likely score
1-2 9%
Expected goals
1.38 – 2.29

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultQuick Boys22.0%4.551.23 Dafabet81.3%-59.3
Match resultDraw20.5%4.887.00 Dafabet14.3%+6.2
Match resultEemdijk57.5%1.7412.00 William Hill8.3%+49.2
Total goalsOver 1.588.5%1.131.12 Bet36589.3%-0.8
Total goalsUnder 1.511.5%8.727.00 Bet36514.3%-2.8
Total goalsOver 2.571.0%1.411.48 Bet36567.6%+3.4
Total goalsUnder 2.529.0%3.453.10 Bet36532.3%-3.2
Total goalsOver 3.550.0%2.002.10 Bet36547.6%+2.4
Total goalsUnder 3.550.0%2.001.83 Bet36554.6%-4.7
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes67.7%1.481.91 Bet36552.4%+15.3
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No32.3%3.102.10 Betfair47.6%-15.3

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Eemdijk favoured against Quick Boys

Our model makes Quick Boys 22% to win this KNVB Beker fixture, with the draw at 20% and Eemdijk at 58%. The goal projection is 1.38 for Quick Boys against 2.29 for Eemdijk — a commanding edge to Eemdijk on expected output. A combined 3.67 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 71% and both teams to score at 68%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-2 9%
1-1 8%
1-3 7%
0-2 7%
2-2 6%

This season

Season records for Quick Boys and Eemdijk
Quick Boys Eemdijk
1Played3
1-0-0W-D-L2-0-1
3.00Pts / game2.00
4.00Goals for / game1.67
0.00Goals against / game1.67
100%Over 2.5100%
0%BTTS33%
100%Clean sheets33%
0%Failed to score33%
1-0-0Home record1-0-0
0-0-0Away record1-0-1
W1StreakL1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Quick Boys · Eemdijk

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
24.0Shots10.0
13.0Shots on target0.0
9.0Corners2.0
0.00Cards2.00
9.0Fouls9.0
70Possession %30
3.70xG0.47
1 matchessample1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
10.0Shots24.0
0.0Shots on target13.0
2.0Corners9.0
2.00Cards0.00
9.0Fouls9.0
30Possession %70
0.47xG3.70
1 matchessample1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Quick BoysMetricEemdijk
2.60 (better)Goals scored1.60
1.20 (better)Goals conceded2.80
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Quick Boys wins
1
Draws
0
Eemdijk wins
0
Goals / game
4.00
Over 2.5
100%
Both score
0%