Predicted Edge

Pohang Steelers v FC Anyang

Pohang Steelers won 0 of the last 59th0–0FC Anyang won 2 of the last 58th

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Pohang Steelers FC Anyang
3Shots17
0Shots on target2
3Corners2
—Fouls—
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
—Offsides—
—Passes—
48%Possession %52%
—xG—
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
26%
Both score
53%
Model pick
FC Anyang 40%
Likely score
1-1 13%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.38

Advised bets

VoidMembers’ pick, published now the day is over.

★ Members’ pick

Edge strength 5 of 5

FC Anyang 0

2.57Marathonbet · fair 2.29 · qualifies at 2.36+ · 1.91u
Why this price?

Back FC Anyang 0 on the Asian handicap at 2.57 with Marathonbet — FC Anyang to win; a draw returns the stake.

Our model puts the chance at 55% and the bookmakers' own consensus, margin removed, at 36%; we judge it at 44%, weighting the market more than the model, which is a fair price of 2.30. The offered 2.57 implies only 39%, so the price is 12.0% better than our estimate says it should be. That gap is the edge.

Stake 1.91 units of a 100-unit bank: the size follows the edge (a quarter-Kelly fraction), never more than 2 units.

Projected goals: Pohang Steelers 1.21, FC Anyang 1.38.

The edge is an estimate and carries model error; it can be wrong, and a losing run is normal.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes53.1%1.881.83 Bet36554.6%-1.5
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No46.9%2.131.95 William Hill51.3%-4.4
Match resultPohang Steelers32.3%3.092.20 Bet36545.5%-13.1
Match resultDraw27.6%3.623.45 Dafabet29.0%-1.4
Match resultFC Anyang40.0%2.503.65 Betano27.4%+12.6
Total goalsOver 1.573.6%1.361.33 Bet36575.2%-1.6
Total goalsUnder 1.526.4%3.793.25 Bet36530.8%-4.4
Total goalsOver 2.547.8%2.092.05 Bet36548.8%-1.0
Total goalsUnder 2.552.2%1.921.78 Betano56.2%-4.0
Total goalsOver 3.526.1%3.833.60 BetVictor27.8%-1.7
Total goalsUnder 3.573.9%1.351.32 Betano75.8%-1.9

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

FC Anyang favoured against Pohang Steelers

Our model makes Pohang Steelers 32% to win this K League 1 fixture, with the draw at 28% and FC Anyang at 40%. The goal projection is 1.21 for Pohang Steelers against 1.38 for FC Anyang — a slight edge to FC Anyang on expected output. A combined 2.59 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 13%
0-1 10%
1-2 9%
1-0 8%
0-0 8%

This season

Season records for Pohang Steelers and FC Anyang
Pohang Steelers FC Anyang
35Played35
11-11-13W-D-L11-13-11
1.26Pts / game1.31
0.94Goals for / game1.20
1.20Goals against / game1.43
37%Over 2.546%
40%BTTS69%
31%Clean sheets14%
40%Failed to score23%
4-5-6Home record5-6-6
7-6-7Away record6-7-5
D4StreakL1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Pohang Steelers · FC Anyang

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
6.2Shots11.8
2.4Shots on target4.8
5.4Corners3.4
1.80Cards1.20
—Fouls16.0
46Possession %51
—xG—
5 matchessample5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
12.4Shots9.2
4.6Shots on target4.2
4.8Corners3.0
0.80Cards2.00
—Fouls15.0
54Possession %49
—xG—
5 matchessample5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Pohang SteelersMetricFC Anyang
1.00Goals scored1.20 (better)
1.80Goals conceded1.60 (better)
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
3.60 (better)Shots on target3.20
10.00Total shots11.40 (better)
Touches in opp. box
4.60 (better)Corners3.20
45.8Possession %48.0 (better)
400 (better)Passes379
Tackles
10.80 (better)Fouls13.00
1.80Offsides1.67 (better)
Throw-ins
2.00Yellow cards1.20 (better)
0.00Red cards0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Pohang Steelers wins
2
Draws
1
FC Anyang wins
1
Goals / game
1.75
Over 2.5
25%
Both score
25%
K League 1 table
League table
#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1FC Seoul352078+3067FC Seoul won 1 of the last 5
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3517612+757Ulsan Hyundai FC won 3 of the last 5
3Daejeon Citizen35141110+1453Daejeon Citizen won 4 of the last 5
4Gangwon FC3512158+1051Gangwon FC won 2 of the last 5
5Jeonbuk Motors35121310+949Jeonbuk Motors won 1 of the last 5
6Incheon United35131012+749Incheon United won 3 of the last 5
7Jeju United FC35121211+248Jeju United FC won 0 of the last 5
8FC Anyang35111311-846FC Anyang won 2 of the last 5
9Pohang Steelers35111113-944Pohang Steelers won 0 of the last 5
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC356209-738Gimcheon Sangmu FC won 1 of the last 5
11Bucheon FC 19953571216-1633Bucheon FC 1995 won 0 of the last 5
12Gwangju FC3531418-3923Gwangju FC won 2 of the last 5