Predicted Edge

Paris Saint Germain v Marseille

Paris Saint Germain won 5 of the last 51st2–2Marseille won 5 of the last 54th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Paris Saint Germain and Marseille
Paris Saint Germain Marseille
10Played10
7-2-1W-D-L6-0-4
2.30Pts / game1.80
2.20Goals for / game2.20
1.00Goals against / game1.40
70%Over 2.560%
70%BTTS50%
30%Clean sheets30%
0%Failed to score20%
3-0-1Home record3-0-2
4-2-0Away record3-0-2
W7StreakW5

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Paris Saint Germain · Marseille

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
19.0Shots13.0
8.4Shots on target4.5
5.0Corners4.2
0.86Cards1.70
6.3Fouls12.2
68Possession %53
2.42xG1.86
7 matchessample6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
12.3Shots17.7
4.7Shots on target6.0
3.3Corners4.2
2.02Cards1.83
12.3Fouls11.3
32Possession %48
1.26xG2.12
7 matchessample6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Paris Saint GermainMetricMarseille
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Paris Saint Germain wins
2
Draws
1
Marseille wins
1
Goals / game
3.25
Over 2.5
75%
Both score
50%