Palmeiras v
Fluminense
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Palmeiras | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21-10-3 | W-D-L | 16-9-9 |
| 2.15 | Pts / game | 1.68 |
| 1.82 | Goals for / game | 1.62 |
| 0.68 | Goals against / game | 1.24 |
| 47% | Over 2.5 | 59% |
| 53% | BTTS | 71% |
| 47% | Clean sheets | 21% |
| 15% | Failed to score | 12% |
| 13-3-1 | Home record | 12-3-2 |
| 8-7-2 | Away record | 4-6-7 |
| W1 | Streak | W2 |
2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Palmeiras · Fluminense
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 20.1 | Shots | 14.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 7.6 | Shots on target | 5.6 |
| 6.0 | Corners | 4.3 |
| 2.45 | Cards | 2.14 |
| 11.9 | Fouls | 16.1 |
| 52 | Possession % | 60 |
| 2.71 | xG | 1.57 |
| 7 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Conceded
| 13.0 | Shots | 13.1 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7 | Shots on target | 4.4 |
| 5.3 | Corners | 5.6 |
| 3.43 | Cards | 2.00 |
| 12.4 | Fouls | 15.6 |
| 48 | Possession % | 40 |
| 0.88 | xG | 1.49 |
| 7 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Form comparison
| Palmeiras | Metric | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Palmeiras wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Fluminense wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 2.75
- Over 2.5
- 75%
- Both score
- 75%
- Fluminense v Palmeiras3–22026-08-15
- Palmeiras v Fluminense2–12026-02-26
- Palmeiras v Fluminense0–02025-11-23
- Fluminense v Palmeiras1–22025-07-23
Brasileirão Série A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 | Flamengo won 5 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | +39 | 73 | Palmeiras won 4 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 60 | Cruzeiro won 4 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +13 | 57 | Fluminense won 2 of the last 5 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +8 | 54 | Atletico Paranaense won 1 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +5 | 53 | Bahia won 2 of the last 5 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 50 | Atletico-MG won 2 of the last 5 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +5 | 47 | RB Bragantino won 3 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | +1 | 47 | Santos won 1 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 | Sao Paulo won 2 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -7 | 42 | Botafogo won 2 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 | Coritiba won 1 of the last 5 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 | Vasco DA Gama won 2 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 | Mirassol won 2 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -4 | 38 | Internacional won 2 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 38 | Vitoria won 0 of the last 5 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -6 | 37 | Corinthians won 1 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 | Gremio won 2 of the last 5 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -20 | 29 | Remo won 1 of the last 5 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -35 | 21 | Chapecoense-sc won 1 of the last 5 |