Padova 1–0 Ascoli

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Padova and Ascoli
Padova		Ascoli
11	Played	11
4-3-4	W-D-L	5-5-1
1.36	Pts / game	1.82
1.09	Goals for / game	1.55
1.18	Goals against / game	0.64
36%	Over 2.5	27%
55%	BTTS	55%
36%	Clean sheets	36%
9%	Failed to score	27%
2-2-2	Home record	3-3-0
2-1-2	Away record	2-2-1
D2	Streak	D2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Padova · Ascoli

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
9.8	Shots	11.7
2.5	Shots on target	4.0
4.0	Corners	6.2
2.00	Cards	1.33
11.2	Fouls	9.8
46	Possession %	63
0.91	xG	1.46
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
19.8	Shots	14.2
5.5	Shots on target	4.7
6.8	Corners	4.3
1.67	Cards	1.67
10.0	Fouls	16.0
55	Possession %	38
1.79	xG	1.19
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Padova	Metric	Ascoli
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Padova wins: 1
Draws: 0
Ascoli wins: 0
Goals / game: 1.00
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 0%

Padova v Ascoli1–02026-09-12

Serie B table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27	Palermo won 3 of the last 5
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23	Modena won 3 of the last 5
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20	Ascoli won 2 of the last 5
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19	Mantova won 1 of the last 5
5	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16	Hellas Verona won 2 of the last 5
6	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16	Avellino won 1 of the last 5
7	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16	Benevento won 1 of the last 5
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16	Pisa won 1 of the last 5
9	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	16	Juve Stabia won 3 of the last 5
10	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15	Cremonese won 3 of the last 5
11	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15	Sudtirol won 0 of the last 5
12	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15	Padova won 2 of the last 5
13	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15	Cesena won 2 of the last 5
14	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11	Sampdoria won 2 of the last 5
15	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11	Arezzo won 1 of the last 5
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10	Virtus Entella won 1 of the last 5
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10	Carrarese won 2 of the last 5
18	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9	Empoli won 0 of the last 5
19	Vicenza Virtus	10	1	3	6	-11	6	Vicenza Virtus won 1 of the last 5
20	Catanzaro	10	1	3	6	-11	6	Catanzaro won 0 of the last 5