Oxford City v Enfield Town

6–1

14:00 UTC

Over 1.5: 88%
Over 2.5: 70%
Over 3.5: 49%
Both score: 70%

Model pick: Enfield Town 49%
Likely score: 1-1 9%
Expected goals: 1.56 – 2.08

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Oxford City	28.6%	3.50	1.57 Betano	63.7%	-35.1
Match result	Draw	22.1%	4.51	4.50 Bet365	22.2%	-0.1
Match result	Enfield Town	49.3%	2.03	5.25 BetVictor	19.0%	+30.2
Total goals	Over 1.5	88.3%	1.13	1.15 Betano	87.0%	+1.4
Total goals	Under 1.5	11.7%	8.58	5.75 BetVictor	17.4%	-5.7
Total goals	Over 2.5	70.4%	1.42	1.53 Bet365	65.4%	+5.1
Total goals	Under 2.5	29.6%	3.38	2.70 BetVictor	37.0%	-7.5
Total goals	Over 3.5	49.3%	2.03	2.10 BetVictor	47.6%	+1.7
Total goals	Under 3.5	50.7%	1.97	1.67 BetVictor	59.9%	-9.2
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	69.7%	1.44	1.57 BetVictor	63.7%	+6.0
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	30.3%	3.29	2.40 William Hill	41.7%	-11.3

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Enfield Town favoured against Oxford City

Our model makes Oxford City 29% to win this FA Cup fixture, with the draw at 22% and Enfield Town at 49%. The goal projection is 1.56 for Oxford City against 2.08 for Enfield Town — a substantial edge to Enfield Town on expected output. A combined 3.64 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 70% and both teams to score at 70%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 9%; 1-2 9%; 2-2 7%; 2-1 7%; 1-3 6%

This season

Season records for Oxford City and Enfield Town
Oxford City		Enfield Town
4	Played	3
3-0-1	W-D-L	2-0-1
2.25	Pts / game	2.00
2.75	Goals for / game	2.67
1.25	Goals against / game	2.33
50%	Over 2.5	100%
50%	BTTS	67%
50%	Clean sheets	33%
0%	Failed to score	0%
1-0-1	Home record	0-0-0
2-0-0	Away record	2-0-1
L1	Streak	L1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Oxford City · Enfield Town

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
8.0	Shots	—
3.0	Shots on target	—
1.5	Corners	—
1.50	Cards	—
6.0	Fouls	—
33	Possession %	—
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	—

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
10.5	Shots	—
6.0	Shots on target	—
5.5	Corners	—
2.50	Cards	—
12.0	Fouls	—
68	Possession %	—
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	—

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Oxford City	Metric	Enfield Town
2.00	Goals scored	2.80 (better)
0.40 (better)	Goals conceded	1.40
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Oxford City wins: 1
Draws: 0
Enfield Town wins: 0
Goals / game: 7.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Oxford City v Enfield Town6–12026-10-03