Nacional v
Santa Clara
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Nacional | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3-1-7 | W-D-L | 6-3-2 |
| 0.91 | Pts / game | 1.91 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game | 1.45 |
| 1.73 | Goals against / game | 0.73 |
| 45% | Over 2.5 | 45% |
| 36% | BTTS | 45% |
| 27% | Clean sheets | 55% |
| 36% | Failed to score | 9% |
| 3-0-3 | Home record | 2-2-2 |
| 0-1-4 | Away record | 4-1-0 |
| W1 | Streak | L1 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Nacional · Santa Clara
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 11.0 | Shots | 11.4 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Shots on target | 2.8 |
| 5.0 | Corners | 3.4 |
| 1.75 | Cards | 4.25 |
| 13.3 | Fouls | 14.8 |
| 41 | Possession % | 50 |
| 0.83 | xG | 0.99 |
| 4 matches | sample | 5 matches |
Conceded
| 13.5 | Shots | 13.2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Shots on target | 3.2 |
| 6.8 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 2.75 | Cards | 3.70 |
| 8.5 | Fouls | 14.8 |
| 60 | Possession % | 50 |
| 1.21 | xG | 1.23 |
| 4 matches | sample | 5 matches |
Form comparison
| Nacional | Metric | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Nacional wins
- 0
- Draws
- 2
- Santa Clara wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 4.00
- Over 2.5
- 67%
- Both score
- 67%
- Santa Clara v Nacional2–22026-08-10
- Santa Clara v Nacional2–02026-05-11
- Nacional v Santa Clara3–32026-01-11
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | +22 | 33 | FC Porto won 5 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +20 | 28 | Benfica won 4 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 | Sporting CP won 3 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 21 | Santa Clara won 2 of the last 5 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 | Arouca won 3 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 20 | Academico Viseu won 4 of the last 5 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 18 | GIL Vicente won 3 of the last 5 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 | SC Braga won 2 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 14 | Moreirense won 2 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 13 | Famalicao won 3 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 12 | Alverca won 2 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 | Estrela won 0 of the last 5 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -8 | 10 | Nacional won 2 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 9 | Vitória SC won 1 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 8 | Maritimo won 0 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 8 | Casa Pia won 2 of the last 5 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 7 | Rio Ave won 1 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -14 | 2 | Estoril won 0 of the last 5 |