Predicted Edge

Moreirense v Maritimo

Moreirense won 2 of the last 59th3–1Maritimo won 0 of the last 515th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Moreirense and Maritimo
Moreirense Maritimo
11Played10
4-2-5W-D-L2-2-6
1.27Pts / game0.80
1.18Goals for / game0.90
1.64Goals against / game2.10
64%Over 2.570%
55%BTTS60%
9%Clean sheets10%
36%Failed to score30%
2-1-2Home record1-1-3
2-1-3Away record1-1-3
L1StreakL3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Moreirense · Maritimo

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
10.4Shots11.3
3.0Shots on target4.0
2.8Corners4.0
1.00Cards2.33
11.2Fouls14.3
39Possession %45
0.82xG0.97
5 matchessample3 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
17.0Shots15.3
4.2Shots on target7.3
4.6Corners4.7
2.00Cards3.00
13.2Fouls16.0
61Possession %55
1.50xG1.62
5 matchessample3 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
MoreirenseMetricMaritimo
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Moreirense wins
1
Draws
0
Maritimo wins
0
Goals / game
4.00
Over 2.5
100%
Both score
100%
Primeira Liga table
League table
#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1FC Porto111100+2233FC Porto won 5 of the last 5
2Benfica11911+2028Benfica won 4 of the last 5
3Sporting CP11731+1324Sporting CP won 3 of the last 5
4Santa Clara11632+821Santa Clara won 2 of the last 5
5Arouca11623+520Arouca won 3 of the last 5
6Academico Viseu11623+220Academico Viseu won 4 of the last 5
7GIL Vicente11533+218GIL Vicente won 3 of the last 5
8SC Braga11524+217SC Braga won 2 of the last 5
9Moreirense11425-514Moreirense won 2 of the last 5
10Famalicao11344+113Famalicao won 3 of the last 5
11Alverca11335-112Alverca won 2 of the last 5
12Estrela11245-510Estrela won 0 of the last 5
13Nacional11317-810Nacional won 2 of the last 5
14Vitória SC11236-19Vitória SC won 1 of the last 5
15Maritimo10226-128Maritimo won 0 of the last 5
16Casa Pia11227-148Casa Pia won 2 of the last 5
17Rio Ave11218-157Rio Ave won 1 of the last 5
18Estoril10028-142Estoril won 0 of the last 5