Marseille 2–3 Paris FC

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Marseille and Paris FC
Marseille		Paris FC
10	Played	10
6-0-4	W-D-L	6-2-2
1.80	Pts / game	2.00
2.20	Goals for / game	1.70
1.40	Goals against / game	1.00
60%	Over 2.5	60%
50%	BTTS	50%
30%	Clean sheets	40%
20%	Failed to score	30%
3-0-2	Home record	4-1-0
3-0-2	Away record	2-1-2
W5	Streak	W2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Marseille · Paris FC

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
13.0	Shots	14.3
4.5	Shots on target	5.5
4.2	Corners	4.0
1.70	Cards	2.83
12.2	Fouls	14.5
53	Possession %	53
1.86	xG	1.54
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
17.7	Shots	8.3
6.0	Shots on target	3.3
4.2	Corners	2.7
1.83	Cards	2.50
11.3	Fouls	15.5
48	Possession %	47
2.12	xG	1.12
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Marseille	Metric	Paris FC
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Marseille wins: 1
Draws: 1
Paris FC wins: 1
Goals / game: 5.33
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Marseille v Paris FC2–32026-09-06
Paris FC v Marseille2–22026-01-31
Marseille v Paris FC5–22025-08-23

Ligue 1 table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	+12	23	Paris Saint Germain won 5 of the last 5
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+7	21	Lille won 3 of the last 5
3	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	+7	20	Paris FC won 3 of the last 5
4	Marseille	10	6	0	4	+8	18	Marseille won 5 of the last 5
5	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+6	17	Lyon won 2 of the last 5
6	Nice	10	5	2	3	+3	17	Nice won 4 of the last 5
7	Monaco	10	4	4	2	+2	16	Monaco won 0 of the last 5
8	Rennes	10	5	1	4	0	16	Rennes won 2 of the last 5
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	4	3	3	+6	15	Stade Brestois 29 won 3 of the last 5
10	Lorient	10	4	3	3	+1	15	Lorient won 3 of the last 5
11	Lens	10	4	1	5	+2	13	Lens won 3 of the last 5
12	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	+1	13	Toulouse won 2 of the last 5
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	-4	10	Strasbourg won 1 of the last 5
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	-11	10	Auxerre won 1 of the last 5
15	Le Mans	10	1	5	4	-7	8	Le Mans won 0 of the last 5
16	Angers	10	2	2	6	-10	8	Angers won 0 of the last 5
17	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	-10	8	Estac Troyes won 1 of the last 5
18	Le Havre	10	0	2	8	-13	2	Le Havre won 0 of the last 5