Levadiakos v Volos NFC

13th0–014th

14:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Levadiakos		Volos NFC
14	Shots	4
4	Shots on target	1
9	Corners	2
15	Fouls	19
2	Yellow cards	5
1	Red cards	1
2	Offsides	1
488	Passes	234
68%	Possession %	32%
1.36	xG	0.30

Over 1.5: 84%
Over 2.5: 62%
Over 3.5: 40%
Both score: 61%

Model pick: Levadiakos 56%
Likely score: 1-1 10%
Expected goals: 2.02 – 1.20

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Levadiakos	55.7%	1.80	2.35 Betano	42.6%	+13.1
Match result	Draw	22.4%	4.46	3.35 Betano	29.9%	-7.4
Match result	Volos NFC	21.9%	4.56	3.40 Bet365	29.4%	-7.5
Total goals	Over 1.5	83.6%	1.20	1.37 Betano	73.0%	+10.6
Total goals	Under 1.5	16.4%	6.10	3.40 Bet365	29.4%	-13.0
Total goals	Over 2.5	62.4%	1.60	2.10 Betano	47.6%	+14.8
Total goals	Under 2.5	37.6%	2.66	1.72 Betano	58.1%	-20.5
Total goals	Over 3.5	40.2%	2.49	3.85 Betano	26.0%	+14.2
Total goals	Under 3.5	59.8%	1.67	1.29 Betano	77.5%	-17.7
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	61.1%	1.64	1.91 Bet365	52.4%	+8.8
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	38.9%	2.57	2.00 Betfair	50.0%	-11.1

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Levadiakos favoured against Volos NFC

Our model makes Levadiakos 56% to win this Greek Super League fixture, with the draw at 22% and Volos NFC at 22%. The goal projection is 2.02 for Levadiakos against 1.20 for Volos NFC — a substantial edge to Levadiakos on expected output. A combined 3.22 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 62% and both teams to score at 61%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 10%; 2-1 10%; 2-0 8%; 1-0 8%; 3-1 7%

This season

Season records for Levadiakos and Volos NFC
Levadiakos		Volos NFC
10	Played	10
1-3-6	W-D-L	0-3-7
0.60	Pts / game	0.30
0.40	Goals for / game	0.70
1.30	Goals against / game	1.90
30%	Over 2.5	50%
10%	BTTS	60%
40%	Clean sheets	10%
80%	Failed to score	40%
1-1-3	Home record	0-2-3
0-2-3	Away record	0-1-4
L1	Streak	L3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Levadiakos · Volos NFC

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
9.8	Shots	6.8
3.7	Shots on target	2.5
4.5	Corners	2.3
1.70	Cards	4.00
12.8	Fouls	17.2
41	Possession %	38
0.90	xG	0.70
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
11.2	Shots	15.7
2.7	Shots on target	4.8
6.0	Corners	6.3
2.90	Cards	2.00
15.5	Fouls	16.7
59	Possession %	62
0.88	xG	2.03
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Levadiakos	Metric	Volos NFC
0.00	Goals scored	1.40 (better)
1.80 (better)	Goals conceded	2.20
0.62	Expected goals (xG)	0.85 (better)
	Big chances
1.60	Shots on target	3.33 (better)
9.20	Total shots	9.67 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
4.40 (better)	Corners	2.00
43.8 (better)	Possession %	42.7
352 (better)	Passes	303
	Tackles
14.60 (better)	Fouls	15.33
2.40	Offsides	1.33 (better)
	Throw-ins
2.25 (better)	Yellow cards	4.67
1.00 (better)	Red cards	2.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Levadiakos wins: 4
Draws: 1
Volos NFC wins: 0
Goals / game: 3.40
Over 2.5: 80%
Both score: 60%

Levadiakos v Volos NFC0–02026-10-17
Volos NFC v Levadiakos0–32026-05-10
Levadiakos v Volos NFC5–22026-05-03
Levadiakos v Volos NFC3–12026-01-11
Volos NFC v Levadiakos1–22025-11-24

Greek Super League table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Panathinaikos	10	9	0	1	+17	27	Panathinaikos won 4 of the last 5
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	10	7	2	1	+11	23	Olympiakos Piraeus won 4 of the last 5
3	AEK Athens FC	9	6	2	1	+17	20	AEK Athens FC won 4 of the last 5
4	PAOK	10	6	1	3	+6	19	PAOK won 2 of the last 5
5	Aris Thessalonikis	10	6	1	3	-1	19	Aris Thessalonikis won 4 of the last 5
6	OFI	10	5	2	3	+2	17	OFI won 2 of the last 5
7	Kifisia	10	4	2	4	0	14	Kifisia won 3 of the last 5
8	Kalamata	10	3	3	4	-4	12	Kalamata won 2 of the last 5
9	Iraklis 1908	10	2	4	4	-3	10	Iraklis 1908 won 1 of the last 5
10	Panetolikos	10	3	0	7	-12	9	Panetolikos won 0 of the last 5
11	Asteras Tripolis	10	1	4	5	-9	7	Asteras Tripolis won 1 of the last 5
12	Atromitos	9	1	3	5	-3	6	Atromitos won 1 of the last 5
13	Levadiakos	10	1	3	6	-9	6	Levadiakos won 1 of the last 5
14	Volos NFC	10	0	3	7	-12	3	Volos NFC won 0 of the last 5