Predicted Edge

Lazio v Atalanta

Lazio won 4 of the last 51st2–2Atalanta won 1 of the last 512th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Lazio and Atalanta
Lazio Atalanta
11Played11
9-2-0W-D-L4-2-5
2.64Pts / game1.27
2.27Goals for / game1.55
0.82Goals against / game1.82
64%Over 2.573%
64%BTTS64%
36%Clean sheets18%
0%Failed to score18%
4-1-0Home record3-1-2
5-1-0Away record1-1-3
D1StreakW1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Lazio · Atalanta

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
14.4Shots15.7
5.0Shots on target6.3
4.7Corners5.0
1.29Cards1.45
8.7Fouls9.7
59Possession %48
1.59xG2.00
7 matchessample7 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
11.9Shots17.4
4.0Shots on target5.6
4.4Corners6.0
2.50Cards2.14
11.3Fouls9.0
41Possession %52
1.40xG1.68
7 matchessample7 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
LazioMetricAtalanta
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Lazio wins
0
Draws
3
Atalanta wins
1
Goals / game
2.00
Over 2.5
25%
Both score
50%