Lask Linz v WSG Wattens

3rd2–17th

18:30 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Lask Linz		WSG Wattens
16	Shots	10
5	Shots on target	4
1	Corners	2
11	Fouls	17
2	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
2	Offsides	1
533	Passes	450
54%	Possession %	46%
1.88	xG	0.78

Over 1.5: 89%
Over 2.5: 72%
Over 3.5: 51%
Both score: 61%

Model pick: Lask Linz 71%
Likely score: 2-1 9%
Expected goals: 2.67 – 1.07

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Lask Linz	71.0%	1.41	1.36 Bet365	73.5%	-2.5
Match result	Draw	16.5%	6.04	5.80 Dafabet	17.2%	-0.7
Match result	WSG Wattens	12.4%	8.04	8.50 Betfair	11.8%	+0.7
Total goals	Over 1.5	89.0%	1.12	1.11 Betano	90.1%	-1.1
Total goals	Under 1.5	11.0%	9.10	7.50 BetVictor	13.3%	-2.3
Total goals	Over 2.5	72.0%	1.39	1.37 Betano	73.0%	-1.0
Total goals	Under 2.5	28.0%	3.57	3.25 Betfair	30.8%	-2.8
Total goals	Over 3.5	51.3%	1.95	1.91 Betano	52.4%	-1.1
Total goals	Under 3.5	48.7%	2.05	1.90 Betfair	52.6%	-3.9
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	61.3%	1.63	1.60 Betano	62.5%	-1.2
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	38.7%	2.59	2.45 Betfair	40.8%	-2.2

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Lask Linz favoured against WSG Wattens

Our model makes Lask Linz 71% to win this Austrian Bundesliga fixture, with the draw at 17% and WSG Wattens at 12%. The goal projection is 2.67 for Lask Linz against 1.07 for WSG Wattens — a commanding edge to Lask Linz on expected output. A combined 3.73 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 72% and both teams to score at 61%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Lask Linz is a strong favourite here on the numbers, but a 29% chance of not winning is not a remote possibility — it is roughly a one-in-three shot. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 2-1 9%; 2-0 9%; 3-1 8%; 3-0 8%; 1-1 7%

This season

Season records for Lask Linz and WSG Wattens
Lask Linz		WSG Wattens
12	Played	12
8-1-3	W-D-L	3-4-5
2.08	Pts / game	1.08
2.50	Goals for / game	1.25
1.25	Goals against / game	1.50
83%	Over 2.5	58%
58%	BTTS	58%
33%	Clean sheets	25%
8%	Failed to score	17%
4-0-2	Home record	0-4-2
4-1-1	Away record	3-0-3
W2	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Lask Linz · WSG Wattens

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
16.7	Shots	15.0
5.3	Shots on target	5.4
5.8	Corners	5.0
1.33	Cards	2.00
9.8	Fouls	11.6
53	Possession %	53
2.09	xG	1.28
6 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
10.0	Shots	14.0
3.8	Shots on target	4.6
2.5	Corners	6.0
2.33	Cards	2.00
12.7	Fouls	13.4
47	Possession %	47
1.27	xG	1.62
6 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Lask Linz	Metric	WSG Wattens
2.40 (better)	Goals scored	2.00
2.20	Goals conceded	0.60 (better)
2.05 (better)	Expected goals (xG)	1.08
	Big chances
5.50 (better)	Shots on target	5.33
14.00 (better)	Total shots	13.67
	Touches in opp. box
6.25 (better)	Corners	3.67
43.0	Possession %	57.7 (better)
379 (better)	Passes	364
	Tackles
11.50	Fouls	8.33 (better)
4.25	Offsides	1.00 (better)
	Throw-ins
2.00	Yellow cards	1.33 (better)
0.00	Red cards	0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Lask Linz wins: 2
Draws: 0
WSG Wattens wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.67
Over 2.5: 67%
Both score: 67%

Lask Linz v WSG Wattens2–12026-10-31
Lask Linz v WSG Wattens1–02026-02-07
WSG Wattens v Lask Linz3–12025-08-10

Austrian Bundesliga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Rapid Vienna	12	11	0	1	+30	33	Rapid Vienna won 5 of the last 5
2	Red Bull Salzburg	12	9	3	0	+24	30	Red Bull Salzburg won 4 of the last 5
3	Lask Linz	12	8	1	3	+15	25	Lask Linz won 3 of the last 5
4	TSV Hartberg	12	6	2	4	+4	20	TSV Hartberg won 4 of the last 5
5	Sturm Graz	12	5	4	3	+5	19	Sturm Graz won 2 of the last 5
6	Ried	12	4	4	4	-1	16	Ried won 2 of the last 5
7	WSG Wattens	12	3	4	5	-3	13	WSG Wattens won 1 of the last 5
8	Austria Lustenau	12	3	2	7	-15	11	Austria Lustenau won 1 of the last 5
9	SCR Altach	12	3	1	8	-9	10	SCR Altach won 2 of the last 5
10	Grazer AK	12	2	4	6	-20	10	Grazer AK won 0 of the last 5
11	Austria Vienna	12	2	2	8	-12	8	Austria Vienna won 0 of the last 5
12	Wolfsberger AC	12	1	3	8	-18	6	Wolfsberger AC won 0 of the last 5