Predicted Edge

Koninklijke HFC v GO Ahead Eagles

Koninklijke HFC won 1 of the last 30–5GO Ahead Eagles won 2 of the last 58th
Over 1.5
89%
Over 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
50%
Both score
71%
Model pick
Koninklijke HFC 45%
Likely score
1-1 9%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.70

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Match resultKoninklijke HFC44.8%2.2312.00 BetVictor8.3%+36.5
Match resultDraw22.3%4.497.00 Bet36514.3%+8.0
Match resultGO Ahead Eagles32.9%3.041.27 Bet36578.7%-45.8
Total goalsOver 1.588.7%1.131.10 Betano90.9%-2.2
Total goalsUnder 1.511.3%8.858.00 Bet36512.5%-1.2
Total goalsOver 2.571.3%1.401.34 Betano74.6%-3.4
Total goalsUnder 2.528.7%3.483.40 Bet36529.4%-0.7
Total goalsOver 3.550.3%1.991.87 Betfair53.5%-3.1
Total goalsUnder 3.549.7%2.012.00 Bet36550.0%-0.3
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — Yes70.9%1.411.75 Betano57.1%+13.8
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score — No29.1%3.442.25 Bet36544.4%-15.4

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Koninklijke HFC favoured against GO Ahead Eagles

Our model makes Koninklijke HFC 45% to win this KNVB Beker fixture, with the draw at 22% and GO Ahead Eagles at 33%. The goal projection is 1.99 for Koninklijke HFC against 1.70 for GO Ahead Eagles — a clear edge to Koninklijke HFC on expected output. A combined 3.69 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 71% and both teams to score at 71%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores
1-1 9%
2-1 8%
1-2 7%
2-2 7%
3-1 6%

This season

Season records for Koninklijke HFC and GO Ahead Eagles
Koninklijke HFC GO Ahead Eagles
3Played12
1-1-1W-D-L4-5-3
1.33Pts / game1.42
1.67Goals for / game2.00
2.00Goals against / game2.25
67%Over 2.575%
33%BTTS83%
33%Clean sheets8%
33%Failed to score8%
0-1-1Home record3-2-0
1-0-0Away record1-3-3
L1StreakW1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Koninklijke HFC · GO Ahead Eagles

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—Shots13.5
—Shots on target4.7
—Corners4.7
—Cards0.83
—Fouls8.0
—Possession %54
—xG1.47
—sample6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—Shots15.8
—Shots on target5.7
—Corners5.3
—Cards1.17
—Fouls7.7
—Possession %46
—xG1.35
—sample6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Koninklijke HFCMetricGO Ahead Eagles
1.60Goals scored1.80 (better)
1.60 (better)Goals conceded2.40
Expected goals (xG)2.08
Big chances
Shots on target6.20
Total shots17.20
Touches in opp. box
Corners7.20
Possession %57.0
Passes502
Tackles
Fouls6.80
Offsides1.00
Throw-ins
Yellow cards0.80
Red cards0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Koninklijke HFC wins
0
Draws
0
GO Ahead Eagles wins
1
Goals / game
5.00
Over 2.5
100%
Both score
0%