Johor Darul Takzim FC v Port FC

12th3–025th

10:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Johor Darul Takzim FC		Port FC
27	Shots	2
7	Shots on target	0
7	Corners	1
16	Fouls	8
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
1	Offsides	3
552	Passes	289
66%	Possession %	34%
2.15	xG	0.15

Over 1.5: 83%
Over 2.5: 61%
Over 3.5: 39%
Both score: 58%

Model pick: Johor Darul Takzim FC 61%
Likely score: 1-1 10%
Expected goals: 2.09 – 1.06

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Johor Darul Takzim FC	60.6%	1.65	1.22 Betano	82.0%	-21.3
Match result	Draw	21.5%	4.66	7.60 Dafabet	13.2%	+8.3
Match result	Port FC	17.9%	5.59	13.00 BetVictor	7.7%	+10.2
Total goals	Over 1.5	82.6%	1.21	1.12 Betano	89.3%	-6.6
Total goals	Under 1.5	17.4%	5.76	8.00 Betfair	12.5%	+4.9
Total goals	Over 2.5	60.9%	1.64	1.38 Betano	72.5%	-11.6
Total goals	Under 2.5	39.1%	2.56	3.30 Betfair	30.3%	+8.8
Total goals	Over 3.5	38.5%	2.59	1.95 Betano	51.3%	-12.7
Total goals	Under 3.5	61.5%	1.63	1.95 Betano	51.3%	+10.2
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	57.6%	1.74	1.83 Bet365	54.6%	+3.0
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	42.4%	2.36	2.05 William Hill	48.8%	-6.4

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Johor Darul Takzim FC favoured against Port FC

Our model makes Johor Darul Takzim FC 61% to win this AFC Champions League Elite fixture, with the draw at 21% and Port FC at 18%. The goal projection is 2.09 for Johor Darul Takzim FC against 1.06 for Port FC — a commanding edge to Johor Darul Takzim FC on expected output. A combined 3.15 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 61% and both teams to score at 58%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Johor Darul Takzim FC is a strong favourite here on the numbers, but a 39% chance of not winning is not a remote possibility — it is roughly a one-in-three shot. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 10%; 2-1 10%; 2-0 9%; 1-0 9%; 3-1 7%

This season

Season records for Johor Darul Takzim FC and Port FC
Johor Darul Takzim FC		Port FC
4	Played	4
2-1-1	W-D-L	1-0-3
1.75	Pts / game	0.75
1.50	Goals for / game	2.25
0.75	Goals against / game	3.50
25%	Over 2.5	100%
25%	BTTS	75%
50%	Clean sheets	0%
25%	Failed to score	25%
1-1-0	Home record	1-0-1
1-0-1	Away record	0-0-2
L1	Streak	W1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Johor Darul Takzim FC · Port FC

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
23.0	Shots	9.3
7.0	Shots on target	5.7
5.0	Corners	3.3
1.33	Cards	0.33
15.7	Fouls	8.7
62	Possession %	40
2.18	xG	1.15
3 matches	sample	3 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
7.3	Shots	16.0
1.7	Shots on target	5.7
3.7	Corners	3.7
1.33	Cards	1.67
12.3	Fouls	12.3
38	Possession %	60
0.89	xG	2.13
3 matches	sample	3 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Johor Darul Takzim FC	Metric	Port FC
4.40 (better)	Goals scored	1.60
0.60 (better)	Goals conceded	2.40
2.46 (better)	Expected goals (xG)	0.99
	Big chances
8.00 (better)	Shots on target	4.67
20.00 (better)	Total shots	9.67
	Touches in opp. box
3.00	Corners	4.00 (better)
62.0 (better)	Possession %	44.0
524 (better)	Passes	368
	Tackles
14.00	Fouls	11.33 (better)
4.00	Offsides	1.00 (better)
	Throw-ins
2.00	Yellow cards	1.00 (better)
0.00 (better)	Red cards	0.33

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Johor Darul Takzim FC wins: 1
Draws: 0
Port FC wins: 0
Goals / game: 3.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 0%

Johor Darul Takzim FC v Port FC3–02026-10-27

AFC Champions League Elite table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Al Ain	4	4	0	0	+11	12	Al Ain won 4 of the last 4
2	Vissel Kobe	4	4	0	0	+5	12	Vissel Kobe won 4 of the last 4
3	Kashima	4	3	1	0	+10	10	Kashima won 3 of the last 4
4	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	4	3	0	1	+3	9	Al-Hilal Saudi FC won 3 of the last 4
5	Esteghlal FC	4	3	0	1	+3	9	Esteghlal FC won 3 of the last 4
6	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	4	3	0	1	+2	9	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai won 3 of the last 4
7	Al-Qadisiyah FC	4	2	2	0	+6	8	Al-Qadisiyah FC won 2 of the last 4
8	Gamba Osaka	4	2	2	0	+5	8	Gamba Osaka won 2 of the last 4
9	Al-Ahli Jeddah	4	2	2	0	+3	8	Al-Ahli Jeddah won 2 of the last 4
10	Kashiwa Reysol	4	2	1	1	+5	7	Kashiwa Reysol won 2 of the last 4
11	SHANGHAI SIPG	4	2	1	1	+3	7	SHANGHAI SIPG won 2 of the last 4
12	Johor Darul Takzim FC	4	2	1	1	+3	7	Johor Darul Takzim FC won 2 of the last 4
13	Kyoto Sanga	4	2	1	1	+3	7	Kyoto Sanga won 2 of the last 4
14	Jeonbuk Motors	4	2	1	1	+1	7	Jeonbuk Motors won 2 of the last 4
15	Beijing Guoan	4	2	1	1	0	7	Beijing Guoan won 2 of the last 4
16	Al-Nassr	3	2	0	1	+2	6	Al-Nassr won 2 of the last 3
17	Al Shamal	4	1	2	1	+1	5	Al Shamal won 1 of the last 4
18	Neftchi	4	1	1	2	-2	4	Neftchi won 1 of the last 4
19	Daejeon Citizen	4	1	1	2	-2	4	Daejeon Citizen won 1 of the last 4
20	Al-Ittihad FC	4	1	1	2	-3	4	Al-Ittihad FC won 1 of the last 4
21	Công An Nhân Dân	4	1	1	2	-3	4	Công An Nhân Dân won 1 of the last 4
22	Buriram United	4	0	3	1	-1	3	Buriram United won 0 of the last 4
23	Al-Wasl FC	3	1	0	2	-2	3	Al-Wasl FC won 1 of the last 3
24	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	4	1	0	3	-4	3	Al Quwa Al Jawiya won 1 of the last 4
25	Port FC	4	1	0	3	-5	3	Port FC won 1 of the last 4
26	Tractor Sazi	4	0	2	2	-2	2	Tractor Sazi won 0 of the last 4
27	Pakhtakor	4	0	2	2	-5	2	Pakhtakor won 0 of the last 4
28	Al Sadd	4	0	2	2	-5	2	Al Sadd won 0 of the last 4
29	Ratchaburi	4	0	1	3	-4	1	Ratchaburi won 0 of the last 4
30	Pohang Steelers	4	0	1	3	-7	1	Pohang Steelers won 0 of the last 4
31	Al-Gharafa	4	0	0	4	-8	0	Al-Gharafa won 0 of the last 4
32	Newcastle Jets	4	0	0	4	-13	0	Newcastle Jets won 0 of the last 4