Iraklis 1908 v Kifisia

9th2–37th

16:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Iraklis 1908		Kifisia
8	Shots	14
2	Shots on target	6
2	Corners	1
13	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Offsides	3
342	Passes	494
41%	Possession %	59%
0.77	xG	1.84

Over 1.5: 66%
Over 2.5: 39%
Over 3.5: 19%
Both score: 44%

Model pick: Iraklis 1908 48%
Likely score: 1-0 14%
Expected goals: 1.38 – 0.87

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Iraklis 1908	48.0%	2.08	2.70 Betano	37.0%	+11.0
Match result	Draw	28.8%	3.47	3.25 Betano	30.8%	-1.9
Match result	Kifisia	23.1%	4.32	2.88 Bet365	34.7%	-11.6
Total goals	Over 1.5	66.3%	1.51	1.40 Betano	71.4%	-5.1
Total goals	Under 1.5	33.7%	2.97	3.10 Betfair	32.3%	+1.4
Total goals	Over 2.5	39.0%	2.56	2.22 Betano	45.0%	-6.0
Total goals	Under 2.5	61.0%	1.64	1.70 Betano	58.8%	+2.2
Total goals	Over 3.5	19.0%	5.26	4.33 Bet365	23.1%	-4.1
Total goals	Under 3.5	81.0%	1.24	1.26 Betano	79.4%	+1.6
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	44.1%	2.27	1.91 Bet365	52.4%	-8.2
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	55.9%	1.79	1.91 William Hill	52.4%	+3.5

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Iraklis 1908 favoured against Kifisia

Our model makes Iraklis 1908 48% to win this Greek Super League fixture, with the draw at 29% and Kifisia at 23%. The goal projection is 1.38 for Iraklis 1908 against 0.87 for Kifisia — a substantial edge to Iraklis 1908 on expected output. A combined 2.25 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 39% and both teams to score at 44%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-0 14%; 1-1 13%; 0-0 11%; 2-0 10%; 2-1 9%

This season

Season records for Iraklis 1908 and Kifisia
Iraklis 1908		Kifisia
10	Played	10
2-4-4	W-D-L	4-2-4
1.00	Pts / game	1.40
1.10	Goals for / game	1.50
1.40	Goals against / game	1.50
40%	Over 2.5	60%
60%	BTTS	70%
30%	Clean sheets	20%
20%	Failed to score	20%
1-1-2	Home record	1-2-2
1-3-2	Away record	3-0-2
L1	Streak	W1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Iraklis 1908 · Kifisia

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
11.0	Shots	14.2
3.2	Shots on target	5.0
2.6	Corners	6.2
2.80	Cards	3.00
13.4	Fouls	14.2
41	Possession %	53
0.91	xG	1.24
5 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
14.6	Shots	10.2
4.6	Shots on target	3.0
3.0	Corners	3.0
2.00	Cards	2.20
15.6	Fouls	15.2
59	Possession %	47
1.92	xG	0.61
5 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Iraklis 1908	Metric	Kifisia
1.20 (better)	Goals scored	1.00
0.40 (better)	Goals conceded	1.20
0.62	Expected goals (xG)	1.54 (better)
	Big chances
2.00	Shots on target	4.00 (better)
8.40	Total shots	10.00 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
2.60	Corners	5.00 (better)
44.0	Possession %	47.3 (better)
348	Passes	359 (better)
	Tackles
16.00 (better)	Fouls	18.50
2.00	Offsides	1.50 (better)
	Throw-ins
2.80 (better)	Yellow cards	4.00
0.33 (better)	Red cards	0.50

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Iraklis 1908 wins: 0
Draws: 0
Kifisia wins: 1
Goals / game: 5.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Iraklis 1908 v Kifisia2–32026-10-24

Greek Super League table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Panathinaikos	10	9	0	1	+17	27	Panathinaikos won 4 of the last 5
2	Olympiakos Piraeus	10	7	2	1	+11	23	Olympiakos Piraeus won 4 of the last 5
3	AEK Athens FC	9	6	2	1	+17	20	AEK Athens FC won 4 of the last 5
4	PAOK	10	6	1	3	+6	19	PAOK won 2 of the last 5
5	Aris Thessalonikis	10	6	1	3	-1	19	Aris Thessalonikis won 4 of the last 5
6	OFI	10	5	2	3	+2	17	OFI won 2 of the last 5
7	Kifisia	10	4	2	4	0	14	Kifisia won 3 of the last 5
8	Kalamata	10	3	3	4	-4	12	Kalamata won 2 of the last 5
9	Iraklis 1908	10	2	4	4	-3	10	Iraklis 1908 won 1 of the last 5
10	Panetolikos	10	3	0	7	-12	9	Panetolikos won 0 of the last 5
11	Asteras Tripolis	10	1	4	5	-9	7	Asteras Tripolis won 1 of the last 5
12	Atromitos	9	1	3	5	-3	6	Atromitos won 1 of the last 5
13	Levadiakos	10	1	3	6	-9	6	Levadiakos won 1 of the last 5
14	Volos NFC	10	0	3	7	-12	3	Volos NFC won 0 of the last 5