IF Brommapojkarna won 1 of the last 5DLDWL11th0–0BK Hacken won 3 of the last 5LWDWW4th
Match statistics
Full-time statistics
IF Brommapojkarna
BK Hacken
16
Shots
18
6
Shots on target
4
5
Corners
12
10
Fouls
12
2
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
3
Offsides
1
442
Passes
629
41%
Possession %
59%
0.95
xG
1.12
32%
24%
45%
1 · IF BrommapojkarnaXBK Hacken · 2
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
42%
Both score
65%
Model pick
BK Hacken 45%
Likely score
1-1 11%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.80
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market
Selection
Ours
Fair
Best price
Implied
Gap
Match result
Draw
23.8%
4.20
4.80 Dafabet
20.8%
+3.0
Match result
BK Hacken
44.7%
2.24
1.77 Dafabet
56.5%
-11.8
Total goals
Over 1.5
84.4%
1.18
1.17 Bet365
85.5%
-1.0
Total goals
Under 1.5
15.6%
6.42
6.00 Bet365
16.7%
-1.1
Total goals
Over 2.5
63.7%
1.57
1.53 Bet365
65.4%
-1.6
Match result
IF Brommapojkarna
31.5%
3.17
5.60 Dafabet
17.9%
+13.7
Total goals
Under 2.5
36.3%
2.76
2.70 Bet365
37.0%
-0.8
Total goals
Over 3.5
41.6%
2.40
2.30 Betfair
43.5%
-1.9
Total goals
Under 3.5
58.4%
1.71
1.65 Betfair
60.6%
-2.2
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes
65.0%
1.54
1.57 Betano
63.7%
+1.3
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No
35.0%
2.86
2.45 Betfair
40.8%
-5.9
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
BK Hacken favoured against IF Brommapojkarna
Our model makes IF Brommapojkarna 32% to win this Allsvenskan fixture, with the draw at 24% and BK Hacken at 45%. The goal projection is 1.49 for IF Brommapojkarna against 1.80 for BK Hacken — a clear edge to BK Hacken on expected output. A combined 3.28 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 64% and both teams to score at 65%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
Most likely scores
1-1 11%
1-2 9%
2-1 7%
2-2 7%
0-1 6%
This season
Season records for IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken
Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (4 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
IF Brommapojkarna
Metric
BK Hacken
1.75
Goals scored
2.20 (better)
2.75
Goals conceded
0.20 (better)
1.34
Expected goals (xG)
2.47 (better)
—
Big chances *
—
3.75
Shots on target
7.75 (better)
11.00
Total shots
20.25 (better)
—
Touches in opp. box *
—
4.00
Corners
6.00 (better)
43.3
Possession %
53.0 (better)
437
Passes
529 (better)
—
Tackles
—
11.75
Fouls
10.00 (better)
2.00
Offsides
1.33 (better)
—
Throw-ins *
—
1.75
Yellow cards
1.00 (better)
0.00
Red cards
0.00
* Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
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IF Brommapojkarna v 
BK Hacken