Gyori ETO FC v Vasas

3rd2–27th

18:45 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Gyori ETO FC		Vasas
17	Shots	17
7	Shots on target	7
8	Corners	4
12	Fouls	24
4	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
—	Offsides	—
532	Passes	355
63%	Possession %	37%
2.22	xG	1.80

Over 1.5: 81%
Over 2.5: 58%
Over 3.5: 36%
Both score: 60%

Model pick: Gyori ETO FC 49%
Likely score: 1-1 11%
Expected goals: 1.77 – 1.26

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Total goals	Over 2.5	58.2%	1.72	1.48 Bet365	67.6%	-9.4
Total goals	Under 2.5	41.8%	2.39	2.75 Betfair	36.4%	+5.4
Total goals	Over 3.5	35.8%	2.79	2.20 Bet365	45.5%	-9.6
Total goals	Under 3.5	64.2%	1.56	1.70 Betano	58.8%	+5.4
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	59.9%	1.67	1.44 Bet365	69.4%	-9.6
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	40.1%	2.49	2.88 Betfair	34.7%	+5.4
Match result	Gyori ETO FC	48.8%	2.05	2.18 Betano	45.9%	+2.9
Match result	Draw	24.4%	4.09	3.80 Betano	26.3%	-1.9
Match result	Vasas	26.7%	3.74	3.00 Bet365	33.3%	-6.6
Total goals	Over 1.5	81.0%	1.24	1.15 Betano	87.0%	-6.0
Total goals	Under 1.5	19.0%	5.26	6.50 Betfair	15.4%	+3.6

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Gyori ETO FC favoured against Vasas

Our model makes Gyori ETO FC 49% to win this Hungarian NB I fixture, with the draw at 24% and Vasas at 27%. The goal projection is 1.77 for Gyori ETO FC against 1.26 for Vasas — a substantial edge to Gyori ETO FC on expected output. A combined 3.02 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 11%; 2-1 10%; 1-0 8%; 2-0 8%; 1-2 7%

This season

Season records for Gyori ETO FC and Vasas
Gyori ETO FC		Vasas
13	Played	13
6-5-2	W-D-L	4-4-5
1.77	Pts / game	1.23
1.69	Goals for / game	1.54
1.15	Goals against / game	1.46
62%	Over 2.5	54%
62%	BTTS	54%
23%	Clean sheets	15%
15%	Failed to score	38%
4-1-2	Home record	2-2-3
2-4-0	Away record	2-2-2
D2	Streak	L1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Gyori ETO FC · Vasas

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
14.0	Shots	15.8
5.3	Shots on target	5.2
4.0	Corners	4.8
2.20	Cards	3.20
11.2	Fouls	16.4
50	Possession %	49
1.83	xG	1.31
6 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
19.0	Shots	12.8
6.0	Shots on target	4.8
5.5	Corners	5.8
3.33	Cards	1.60
19.0	Fouls	13.8
51	Possession %	51
1.73	xG	1.32
6 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Gyori ETO FC	Metric	Vasas
2.40 (better)	Goals scored	2.20
1.20 (better)	Goals conceded	1.40
1.75 (better)	Expected goals (xG)	1.67
	Big chances
5.00	Shots on target	5.50 (better)
14.75	Total shots	17.00 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
2.50	Corners	5.75 (better)
47.3	Possession %	53.8 (better)
452	Passes	467 (better)
	Tackles
8.50 (better)	Fouls	13.50
1.50 (better)	Offsides	2.33
	Throw-ins
1.50 (better)	Yellow cards	3.50
0.00	Red cards	0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Gyori ETO FC wins: 0
Draws: 2
Vasas wins: 0
Goals / game: 4.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Gyori ETO FC v Vasas2–22026-10-31
Vasas v Gyori ETO FC2–22026-07-26

Hungarian NB I table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Puskas Academy	13	8	0	5	+3	24	Puskas Academy won 3 of the last 5
2	Ferencvarosi TC	12	6	5	1	+12	23	Ferencvarosi TC won 3 of the last 5
3	Gyori ETO FC	13	6	5	2	+7	23	Gyori ETO FC won 2 of the last 5
4	Debreceni VSC	13	6	4	3	+6	22	Debreceni VSC won 4 of the last 5
5	Paks	13	6	2	5	+2	20	Paks won 3 of the last 5
6	Ujpest	13	5	3	5	+1	18	Ujpest won 1 of the last 5
7	Vasas	13	4	4	5	+1	16	Vasas won 0 of the last 5
8	Budapest Honved	12	3	5	4	-3	14	Budapest Honved won 2 of the last 5
9	Zalaegerszegi TE	13	4	1	8	-7	13	Zalaegerszegi TE won 2 of the last 5
10	MTK Budapest	13	3	4	6	-9	13	MTK Budapest won 1 of the last 5
11	Kisvarda FC	13	2	6	5	-3	12	Kisvarda FC won 0 of the last 5
12	Nyiregyhaza	13	3	3	7	-10	12	Nyiregyhaza won 1 of the last 5