Grasshoppers v 
Lausanne
- Over 1.5
- 73%
- Over 2.5
- 47%
- Over 3.5
- 25%
- Both score
- 53%
- Model pick
- Lausanne 37%
- Likely score
- 1-1 13%
- Expected goals
- 1.25 – 1.31
Advised bets
Members only
Edge strength 5 of 5Model pick: Asian handicap
Members see the selection itself, the advised price and bookmaker, the stake in units and the reasoning, from the moment it is published. Once the day is over it is published here for everyone, with its outcome. Membership is £4.99 a month, cancel any time.
Our probabilities against the market
MembersEvery market, priced — members only
11 selections across the match result, Asian handicap, total goals, both teams to score and correct score, each with our probability and fair price beside the best price available and the gap between them. Published for everyone once the day is over.
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Grasshoppers v Lausanne: too close to call
Our model makes Grasshoppers 35% to win this Swiss Super League fixture, with the draw at 28% and Lausanne at 37%. The goal projection is 1.25 for Grasshoppers against 1.31 for Lausanne — almost nothing to Lausanne on expected output. A combined 2.56 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
- Most likely scores
- 1-1 13%
- 0-1 9%
- 1-0 9%
- 0-0 8%
- 1-2 8%
This season
| Grasshoppers | Lausanne | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 2-4-6 | W-D-L | 1-3-8 |
| 0.83 | Pts / game | 0.50 |
| 1.25 | Goals for / game | 0.92 |
| 2.33 | Goals against / game | 1.83 |
| 58% | Over 2.5 | 42% |
| 67% | BTTS | 42% |
| 25% | Clean sheets | 17% |
| 17% | Failed to score | 50% |
| 1-2-3 | Home record | 0-2-4 |
| 1-2-3 | Away record | 1-1-4 |
| D2 | Streak | L6 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Grasshoppers · Lausanne
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 13.7 | Shots | 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.3 | Shots on target | 4.0 |
| 5.0 | Corners | 6.3 |
| 1.67 | Cards | 3.50 |
| 11.3 | Fouls | 15.8 |
| 43 | Possession % | 43 |
| 1.42 | xG | 1.15 |
| 3 matches | sample | 4 matches |
Conceded
| 19.3 | Shots | 17.3 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.7 | Shots on target | 5.0 |
| 5.3 | Corners | 5.5 |
| 3.00 | Cards | 2.50 |
| 16.0 | Fouls | 13.3 |
| 57 | Possession % | 57 |
| 1.90 | xG | 2.20 |
| 3 matches | sample | 4 matches |
Form comparison
| Grasshoppers | Metric | Lausanne |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 (better) | Goals scored | 1.40 |
| 1.20 (better) | Goals conceded | 1.40 |
| 0.74 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.98 (better) |
| Big chances | ||
| 2.50 | Shots on target | 3.75 (better) |
| 10.50 | Total shots | 12.25 (better) |
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| 3.50 | Corners | 7.00 (better) |
| 44.5 | Possession % | 47.8 (better) |
| 396 (better) | Passes | 394 |
| Tackles | ||
| 12.00 (better) | Fouls | 17.00 |
| 3.50 | Offsides | 1.00 (better) |
| Throw-ins | ||
| 1.00 (better) | Yellow cards | 3.00 |
| 0.00 (better) | Red cards | 0.50 |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Grasshoppers wins
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Lausanne wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 3.40
- Over 2.5
- 60%
- Both score
- 100%
- Lausanne v Grasshoppers1–12026-07-25
- Lausanne v Grasshoppers1–32026-05-16
- Grasshoppers v Lausanne2–32026-03-08
- Lausanne v Grasshoppers1–12026-01-24
- Grasshoppers v Lausanne3–12025-09-14
Swiss Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Lugano | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | +26 | 34 | FC Lugano won 5 of the last 5 |
| 2 | BSC Young Boys | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +15 | 25 | BSC Young Boys won 3 of the last 5 |
| 3 | FC Sion | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 | FC Sion won 2 of the last 5 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 20 | FC Zurich won 4 of the last 5 |
| 5 | FC ST. Gallen | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 19 | FC ST. Gallen won 3 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Servette FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 | Servette FC won 3 of the last 5 |
| 7 | FC Basel 1893 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 | FC Basel 1893 won 1 of the last 5 |
| 8 | FC Luzern | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 13 | FC Luzern won 1 of the last 5 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 13 | FC Thun won 2 of the last 5 |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 10 | FC Vaduz won 1 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 10 | Grasshoppers won 0 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Lausanne | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -11 | 6 | Lausanne won 0 of the last 5 |