Gornik Zabrze 2–1 Lech Poznan

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Gornik Zabrze and Lech Poznan
Gornik Zabrze		Lech Poznan
14	Played	13
9-4-1	W-D-L	10-2-1
2.21	Pts / game	2.46
1.64	Goals for / game	2.62
0.86	Goals against / game	1.00
57%	Over 2.5	85%
71%	BTTS	77%
29%	Clean sheets	23%
14%	Failed to score	8%
4-2-1	Home record	6-2-0
5-2-0	Away record	4-0-1
W1	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Gornik Zabrze · Lech Poznan

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
21.8	Shots	19.3
6.2	Shots on target	7.2
5.6	Corners	7.2
2.20	Cards	1.67
14.2	Fouls	11.0
51	Possession %	59
2.32	xG	2.48
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
8.6	Shots	12.2
3.0	Shots on target	5.0
2.8	Corners	4.7
2.40	Cards	2.03
12.2	Fouls	12.5
49	Possession %	41
0.62	xG	1.18
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Gornik Zabrze	Metric	Lech Poznan
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Gornik Zabrze wins: 1
Draws: 0
Lech Poznan wins: 2
Goals / game: 2.33
Over 2.5: 67%
Both score: 67%

Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan2–12026-09-12
Gornik Zabrze v Lech Poznan0–12026-02-07
Lech Poznan v Gornik Zabrze2–12025-08-02

Ekstraklasa table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lech Poznan	13	10	2	1	+21	32	Lech Poznan won 4 of the last 5
2	Gornik Zabrze	14	9	4	1	+11	31	Gornik Zabrze won 2 of the last 5
3	Legia Warszawa	14	6	6	2	+10	24	Legia Warszawa won 1 of the last 5
4	Pogon Szczecin	13	7	3	3	+5	24	Pogon Szczecin won 3 of the last 5
5	Wisla Krakow	14	7	3	4	+3	24	Wisla Krakow won 2 of the last 5
6	Zaglebie Lubin	14	6	5	3	+1	23	Zaglebie Lubin won 2 of the last 5
7	Piast Gliwice	14	6	4	4	+4	22	Piast Gliwice won 2 of the last 5
8	GKS Katowice	14	7	0	7	+5	21	GKS Katowice won 2 of the last 5
9	Jagiellonia	13	7	0	6	0	21	Jagiellonia won 3 of the last 5
10	Motor Lublin	14	5	4	5	-2	19	Motor Lublin won 4 of the last 5
11	Korona Kielce	14	5	3	6	-7	18	Korona Kielce won 1 of the last 5
12	Wisla Plock	13	4	3	6	-7	15	Wisla Plock won 1 of the last 5
13	Widzew Łódź	14	2	8	4	+1	14	Widzew Łódź won 1 of the last 5
14	Radomiak Radom	14	4	2	8	-12	14	Radomiak Radom won 2 of the last 5
15	Cracovia Krakow	14	3	3	8	-7	12	Cracovia Krakow won 1 of the last 5
16	Raków Częstochowa	14	4	0	10	-8	12	Raków Częstochowa won 3 of the last 5
17	Slask Wroclaw	14	2	4	8	-8	10	Slask Wroclaw won 1 of the last 5
18	Wieczysta Kraków	14	2	2	10	-10	8	Wieczysta Kraków won 0 of the last 5