Girona v FC Andorra

8th2–019th

16:30 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Girona		FC Andorra
11	Shots	6
4	Shots on target	3
2	Corners	6
12	Fouls	19
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Offsides	3
304	Passes	605
33%	Possession %	67%
1.32	xG	0.37

Over 1.5: 78%
Over 2.5: 53%
Over 3.5: 31%
Both score: 56%

Model pick: Girona 48%
Likely score: 1-1 12%
Expected goals: 1.64 – 1.16

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	56.1%	1.78	1.73 Bet365	57.8%	-1.7
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	43.9%	2.28	2.15 BetVictor	46.5%	-2.6
Match result	Girona	47.8%	2.09	1.80 Bet365	55.6%	-7.8
Match result	Draw	25.9%	3.87	—	—	—
Match result	FC Andorra	26.4%	3.79	4.50 Bet365	22.2%	+4.2
Total goals	Over 1.5	77.6%	1.29	1.20 Bet365	83.3%	-5.7
Total goals	Under 1.5	22.4%	4.46	4.33 Bet365	23.1%	-0.7
Total goals	Over 2.5	53.1%	1.88	1.70 Bet365	58.8%	-5.8
Total goals	Under 2.5	46.9%	2.13	—	—	—
Total goals	Over 3.5	30.8%	3.24	2.75 BetVictor	36.4%	-5.5
Total goals	Under 3.5	69.2%	1.45	1.44 Bet365	69.4%	-0.3

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Girona favoured against FC Andorra

Our model makes Girona 48% to win this Segunda División fixture, with the draw at 26% and FC Andorra at 26%. The goal projection is 1.64 for Girona against 1.16 for FC Andorra — a clear edge to Girona on expected output. A combined 2.80 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 56%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 12%; 2-1 9%; 1-0 9%; 2-0 8%; 0-0 7%

This season

Season records for Girona and FC Andorra
Girona		FC Andorra
13	Played	12
6-3-4	W-D-L	3-2-7
1.62	Pts / game	0.92
1.69	Goals for / game	1.42
0.92	Goals against / game	1.83
38%	Over 2.5	58%
54%	BTTS	58%
31%	Clean sheets	17%
23%	Failed to score	33%
4-2-2	Home record	2-0-4
2-1-2	Away record	1-2-3
L2	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Girona · FC Andorra

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
14.6	Shots	10.5
4.3	Shots on target	5.2
4.0	Corners	4.0
2.14	Cards	4.50
11.6	Fouls	17.3
51	Possession %	57
1.47	xG	1.67
7 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
10.9	Shots	13.8
3.0	Shots on target	4.0
4.4	Corners	6.2
3.71	Cards	2.00
17.3	Fouls	9.7
49	Possession %	43
0.85	xG	1.25
7 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Girona	Metric	FC Andorra
1.40 (better)	Goals scored	1.00
0.60 (better)	Goals conceded	1.80
1.07	Expected goals (xG)	1.62 (better)
	Big chances
4.60 (better)	Shots on target	4.00
13.40 (better)	Total shots	11.80
	Touches in opp. box
3.20	Corners	4.80 (better)
47.0	Possession %	57.0 (better)
425	Passes	440 (better)
	Tackles
10.20 (better)	Fouls	16.60
1.20 (better)	Offsides	2.50
	Throw-ins
2.60 (better)	Yellow cards	3.80
0.33	Red cards	0.00 (better)

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Girona wins: 1
Draws: 0
FC Andorra wins: 0
Goals / game: 2.00
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 0%

Girona v FC Andorra2–02026-10-18

Segunda División table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29	Almeria won 3 of the last 5
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27	Castellón won 2 of the last 5
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24	Burgos won 3 of the last 5
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23	Eibar won 1 of the last 5
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23	Granada CF won 5 of the last 5
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22	Mallorca won 2 of the last 5
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22	Sporting Gijon won 3 of the last 5
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21	Girona won 2 of the last 5
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21	Oviedo won 3 of the last 5
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20	Las Palmas won 3 of the last 5
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19	Cordoba won 3 of the last 5
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18	Valladolid won 3 of the last 5
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18	Sabadell won 1 of the last 5
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15	Tenerife won 0 of the last 5
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14	Eldense won 2 of the last 5
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13	Celta de Vigo II won 1 of the last 5
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12	Real Sociedad II won 1 of the last 5
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12	Leganes won 0 of the last 5
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11	FC Andorra won 1 of the last 5
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10	Cadiz won 1 of the last 5
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10	Albacete won 3 of the last 5
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5	AD Ceuta FC won 0 of the last 5