Fomboni Club v 15 de Agosto

0–1

12:00 UTC

Over 1.5: 78%
Over 2.5: 54%
Over 3.5: 32%
Both score: 57%

Model pick: 15 de Agosto 47%
Likely score: 1-1 12%
Expected goals: 1.19 – 1.64

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Draw	25.8%	3.88	—	—	—
Match result	15 de Agosto	47.2%	2.12	—	—	—
Match result	Fomboni Club	27.0%	3.70	—	—	—
Total goals	Over 1.5	78.2%	1.28	—	—	—
Total goals	Under 1.5	21.8%	4.58	—	—	—
Total goals	Over 2.5	53.9%	1.86	—	—	—
Total goals	Under 2.5	46.1%	2.17	—	—	—
Total goals	Over 3.5	31.6%	3.17	—	—	—
Total goals	Under 3.5	68.4%	1.46	—	—	—
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	56.8%	1.76	—	—	—
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	43.2%	2.32	—	—	—

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

15 de Agosto favoured against Fomboni Club

Our model makes Fomboni Club 27% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 26% and 15 de Agosto at 47%. The goal projection is 1.19 for Fomboni Club against 1.64 for 15 de Agosto — a clear edge to 15 de Agosto on expected output. A combined 2.83 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 57%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 12%; 1-2 9%; 0-1 9%; 0-2 8%; 2-1 7%

This season

Season records for Fomboni Club and 15 de Agosto
Fomboni Club		15 de Agosto
2	Played	4
0-0-2	W-D-L	2-0-2
0.00	Pts / game	1.50
0.00	Goals for / game	1.50
2.50	Goals against / game	2.25
50%	Over 2.5	75%
0%	BTTS	25%
0%	Clean sheets	50%
100%	Failed to score	25%
0-0-1	Home record	1-0-1
0-0-1	Away record	1-0-1
L2	Streak	L2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Fomboni Club · 15 de Agosto

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—	Shots	2.0
—	Shots on target	1.0
—	Corners	2.0
—	Cards	2.00
—	Fouls	—
—	Possession %	36
—	xG	—
—	sample	1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—	Shots	25.0
—	Shots on target	11.0
—	Corners	9.0
—	Cards	1.00
—	Fouls	—
—	Possession %	64
—	xG	—
—	sample	1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Fomboni Club	Metric	15 de Agosto
0.60	Goals scored	1.80 (better)
4.00	Goals conceded	1.00 (better)
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Fomboni Club wins: 0
Draws: 0
15 de Agosto wins: 2
Goals / game: 2.50
Over 2.5: 50%
Both score: 0%

Fomboni Club v 15 de Agosto0–12026-10-03
15 de Agosto v Fomboni Club4–02026-09-11