Fiorentina v
Atalanta
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 2-3-6 | W-D-L | 4-2-5 |
| 0.82 | Pts / game | 1.27 |
| 1.55 | Goals for / game | 1.55 |
| 2.27 | Goals against / game | 1.82 |
| 91% | Over 2.5 | 73% |
| 82% | BTTS | 64% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 18% |
| 18% | Failed to score | 18% |
| 0-3-3 | Home record | 3-1-2 |
| 2-0-3 | Away record | 1-1-3 |
| D1 | Streak | W1 |
2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Fiorentina · Atalanta
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 17.0 | Shots | 15.7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.6 | Shots on target | 6.3 |
| 5.1 | Corners | 5.0 |
| 2.57 | Cards | 1.45 |
| 12.6 | Fouls | 9.7 |
| 47 | Possession % | 48 |
| 1.53 | xG | 2.00 |
| 7 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Conceded
| 15.3 | Shots | 17.4 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9 | Shots on target | 5.6 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 2.14 | Cards | 2.14 |
| 12.6 | Fouls | 9.0 |
| 53 | Possession % | 52 |
| 1.71 | xG | 1.68 |
| 7 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Form comparison
| Fiorentina | Metric | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Fiorentina wins
- 0
- Draws
- 2
- Atalanta wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 2.67
- Over 2.5
- 33%
- Both score
- 67%
- Fiorentina v Atalanta2–22026-10-29
- Fiorentina v Atalanta1–12026-05-22
- Atalanta v Fiorentina2–02025-11-30
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +16 | 29 | Lazio won 4 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Inter | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 28 | Inter won 4 of the last 5 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +21 | 27 | AS Roma won 4 of the last 5 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 | AC Milan won 4 of the last 5 |
| 5 | Como | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 23 | Como won 4 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 20 | Frosinone won 3 of the last 5 |
| 7 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 | Juventus won 2 of the last 5 |
| 8 | Bologna | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 | Bologna won 4 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 16 | Cagliari won 1 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Napoli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 15 | Napoli won 1 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 | Torino won 2 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 14 | Atalanta won 1 of the last 5 |
| 13 | Genoa | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 | Genoa won 3 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Lecce | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 10 | Lecce won 1 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | Fiorentina won 1 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Parma | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 8 | Parma won 1 of the last 5 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 8 | Sassuolo won 0 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Monza | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -8 | 7 | Monza won 1 of the last 5 |
| 19 | Venezia | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -13 | 6 | Venezia won 2 of the last 5 |
| 20 | Udinese | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -13 | 5 | Udinese won 0 of the last 5 |