Fiorentina 1–2 AS Roma

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Fiorentina and AS Roma
Fiorentina		AS Roma
11	Played	11
2-3-6	W-D-L	8-3-0
0.82	Pts / game	2.45
1.55	Goals for / game	2.82
2.27	Goals against / game	0.91
91%	Over 2.5	73%
82%	BTTS	45%
0%	Clean sheets	55%
18%	Failed to score	9%
0-3-3	Home record	5-1-0
2-0-3	Away record	3-2-0
D1	Streak	W3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Fiorentina · AS Roma

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
17.0	Shots	17.8
4.6	Shots on target	5.8
5.1	Corners	6.6
2.57	Cards	2.04
12.6	Fouls	11.0
47	Possession %	55
1.53	xG	2.19
7 matches	sample	8 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
15.3	Shots	13.4
5.9	Shots on target	4.8
5.4	Corners	3.8
2.14	Cards	1.38
12.6	Fouls	8.5
53	Possession %	46
1.71	xG	1.64
7 matches	sample	8 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Fiorentina	Metric	AS Roma
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Fiorentina wins: 0
Draws: 0
AS Roma wins: 3
Goals / game: 3.67
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 33%

AS Roma v Fiorentina4–02026-08-24
AS Roma v Fiorentina4–02026-05-04
Fiorentina v AS Roma1–22025-10-05

Serie A table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lazio	11	9	2	0	+16	29	Lazio won 4 of the last 5
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+15	28	Inter won 4 of the last 5
3	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	+21	27	AS Roma won 4 of the last 5
4	AC Milan	11	7	3	1	+10	24	AC Milan won 4 of the last 5
5	Como	11	7	2	2	+8	23	Como won 4 of the last 5
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	+9	20	Frosinone won 3 of the last 5
7	Juventus	11	5	3	3	+3	18	Juventus won 2 of the last 5
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	+2	17	Bologna won 4 of the last 5
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	-5	16	Cagliari won 1 of the last 5
10	Napoli	11	4	3	4	+4	15	Napoli won 1 of the last 5
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	-2	14	Torino won 2 of the last 5
12	Atalanta	11	4	2	5	-3	14	Atalanta won 1 of the last 5
13	Genoa	11	4	1	6	-5	13	Genoa won 3 of the last 5
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	-10	10	Lecce won 1 of the last 5
15	Fiorentina	11	2	3	6	-8	9	Fiorentina won 1 of the last 5
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	-8	8	Parma won 1 of the last 5
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	-13	8	Sassuolo won 0 of the last 5
18	Monza	11	2	1	8	-8	7	Monza won 1 of the last 5
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	-13	6	Venezia won 2 of the last 5
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	-13	5	Udinese won 0 of the last 5