FCSB v Corvinul Hunedoara

8th0–17th

18:30 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
FCSB		Corvinul Hunedoara
21	Shots	10
11	Shots on target	3
5	Corners	3
6	Fouls	10
1	Yellow cards	3
—	Red cards	—
1	Offsides	2
500	Passes	325
61%	Possession %	39%
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 80%
Over 2.5: 57%
Over 3.5: 35%
Both score: 58%

Model pick: FCSB 52%
Likely score: 1-1 11%
Expected goals: 1.80 – 1.17

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	FCSB	51.6%	1.94	1.55 Betano	64.5%	-13.0
Match result	Draw	24.2%	4.13	4.33 Betfair	23.1%	+1.1
Match result	Corvinul Hunedoara	24.2%	4.13	6.00 Bet365	16.7%	+7.5
Total goals	Over 1.5	80.2%	1.25	1.22 Betano	82.0%	-1.8
Total goals	Under 1.5	19.8%	5.05	4.50 Betfair	22.2%	-2.4
Total goals	Over 2.5	57.0%	1.75	1.70 Betano	58.8%	-1.8
Total goals	Under 2.5	43.0%	2.33	2.25 Betano	44.4%	-1.5
Total goals	Over 3.5	34.6%	2.89	2.75 BetVictor	36.4%	-1.7
Total goals	Under 3.5	65.4%	1.53	1.50 Betano	66.7%	-1.3
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	58.1%	1.72	1.78 Betano	56.2%	+2.0
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	41.9%	2.39	2.10 William Hill	47.6%	-5.8

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

FCSB favoured against Corvinul Hunedoara

Our model makes FCSB 52% to win this Romanian Liga I fixture, with the draw at 24% and Corvinul Hunedoara at 24%. The goal projection is 1.80 for FCSB against 1.17 for Corvinul Hunedoara — a substantial edge to FCSB on expected output. A combined 2.97 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 57% and both teams to score at 58%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 11%; 2-1 10%; 1-0 9%; 2-0 8%; 1-2 6%

This season

Season records for FCSB and Corvinul Hunedoara
FCSB		Corvinul Hunedoara
15	Played	15
6-3-6	W-D-L	6-4-5
1.40	Pts / game	1.47
1.33	Goals for / game	1.13
1.40	Goals against / game	1.07
53%	Over 2.5	33%
47%	BTTS	27%
27%	Clean sheets	40%
33%	Failed to score	47%
4-2-2	Home record	4-2-2
2-1-4	Away record	2-2-3
L2	Streak	W2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. FCSB · Corvinul Hunedoara

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
19.4	Shots	15.3
7.0	Shots on target	4.3
5.8	Corners	6.2
2.00	Cards	2.33
13.0	Fouls	15.3
61	Possession %	51
2.18	xG	1.74
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
10.0	Shots	15.5
2.4	Shots on target	5.7
2.2	Corners	3.8
2.73	Cards	2.83
12.4	Fouls	10.2
39	Possession %	50
0.78	xG	1.49
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
FCSB	Metric	Corvinul Hunedoara
1.40 (better)	Goals scored	1.00
1.60	Goals conceded	1.40 (better)
2.04 (better)	Expected goals (xG)	1.64
	Big chances
5.50 (better)	Shots on target	4.33
17.75 (better)	Total shots	17.00
	Touches in opp. box
4.00	Corners	6.00 (better)
59.3 (better)	Possession %	55.3
485 (better)	Passes	438
	Tackles
12.50 (better)	Fouls	16.00
2.25	Offsides	1.33 (better)
	Throw-ins
1.25 (better)	Yellow cards	1.67
0.00	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

FCSB wins: 0
Draws: 0
Corvinul Hunedoara wins: 1
Goals / game: 1.00
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 0%

FCSB v Corvinul Hunedoara0–12026-11-07

Romanian Liga I table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Universitatea Craiova	15	10	3	2	+24	33	Universitatea Craiova won 4 of the last 5
2	Dinamo Bucuresti	15	10	3	2	+21	33	Dinamo Bucuresti won 3 of the last 5
3	Rapid	15	9	4	2	+10	31	Rapid won 3 of the last 5
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	15	8	3	4	+2	27	Petrolul Ploiesti won 2 of the last 5
5	Universitatea Cluj	15	8	2	5	+6	26	Universitatea Cluj won 2 of the last 5
6	Farul Constanta	15	6	6	3	+2	24	Farul Constanta won 3 of the last 5
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	15	6	4	5	+1	22	Corvinul Hunedoara won 3 of the last 5
8	FCSB	15	6	3	6	-1	21	FCSB won 3 of the last 5
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	15	5	4	6	-1	19	CFR 1907 Cluj won 1 of the last 5
10	Uta Arad	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Uta Arad won 2 of the last 5
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	15	4	6	5	-9	18	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 1 of the last 5
12	FC Botosani	15	3	6	6	-1	15	FC Botosani won 1 of the last 5
13	Arges Pitesti	15	4	3	8	-7	15	Arges Pitesti won 1 of the last 5
14	Oţelul	15	2	7	6	-6	13	Oţelul won 0 of the last 5
15	FC Voluntari	15	2	2	11	-18	8	FC Voluntari won 0 of the last 5
16	Csikszereda	15	1	3	11	-19	6	Csikszereda won 1 of the last 5