FC Voluntari v FCSB

15th1–28th

18:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
FC Voluntari		FCSB
14	Shots	18
2	Shots on target	7
4	Corners	2
16	Fouls	20
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Offsides	2
304	Passes	522
38%	Possession %	62%
1.21	xG	2.80

Over 1.5: 89%
Over 2.5: 71%
Over 3.5: 50%
Both score: 71%

Model pick: FC Voluntari 39%
Likely score: 1-1 9%
Expected goals: 1.84 – 1.83

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	FC Voluntari	38.8%	2.58	6.00 Dafabet	16.7%	+22.2
Match result	Draw	22.6%	4.43	4.30 Dafabet	23.3%	-0.7
Match result	FCSB	38.6%	2.59	1.76 Dafabet	56.8%	-18.2
Total goals	Over 1.5	88.5%	1.13	1.20 Betano	83.3%	+5.2
Total goals	Under 1.5	11.5%	8.70	5.00 Bet365	20.0%	-8.5
Total goals	Over 2.5	70.9%	1.41	1.62 Betano	61.7%	+9.2
Total goals	Under 2.5	29.1%	3.44	2.45 Betfair	40.8%	-11.7
Total goals	Over 3.5	49.9%	2.00	2.50 Bet365	40.0%	+9.9
Total goals	Under 3.5	50.1%	2.00	1.57 Bet365	63.7%	-13.6
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	71.0%	1.41	1.80 Betano	55.6%	+15.5
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	29.0%	3.45	2.25 BetVictor	44.4%	-15.5

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

FC Voluntari v FCSB: too close to call

Our model makes FC Voluntari 39% to win this Romanian Liga I fixture, with the draw at 23% and FCSB at 39%. The goal projection is 1.84 for FC Voluntari against 1.83 for FCSB — almost nothing to FC Voluntari on expected output. A combined 3.67 goals points to a wide-open game that could get away from either side, which puts over 2.5 at 71% and both teams to score at 71%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 9%; 2-1 8%; 1-2 8%; 2-2 7%; 3-1 5%

This season

Season records for FC Voluntari and FCSB
FC Voluntari		FCSB
15	Played	15
2-2-11	W-D-L	6-3-6
0.53	Pts / game	1.40
1.00	Goals for / game	1.33
2.20	Goals against / game	1.40
80%	Over 2.5	53%
67%	BTTS	47%
13%	Clean sheets	27%
20%	Failed to score	33%
2-2-4	Home record	4-2-2
0-0-7	Away record	2-1-4
L7	Streak	L2

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. FC Voluntari · FCSB

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
17.0	Shots	19.4
4.4	Shots on target	7.0
5.0	Corners	5.8
2.45	Cards	2.00
8.8	Fouls	13.0
53	Possession %	61
1.21	xG	2.18
5 matches	sample	5 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
14.6	Shots	10.0
5.8	Shots on target	2.4
3.4	Corners	2.2
1.20	Cards	2.73
13.8	Fouls	12.4
47	Possession %	39
2.20	xG	0.78
5 matches	sample	5 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
FC Voluntari	Metric	FCSB
1.00	Goals scored	1.80 (better)
1.40 (better)	Goals conceded	2.40
1.31	Expected goals (xG)	2.26 (better)
	Big chances
5.00	Shots on target	5.00
13.50	Total shots	15.75 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
4.00	Corners	5.50 (better)
46.8	Possession %	51.5 (better)
370	Passes	401 (better)
	Tackles
9.75	Fouls	8.75 (better)
1.25	Offsides	1.25
	Throw-ins
2.50	Yellow cards	1.75 (better)
0.00 (better)	Red cards	1.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

FC Voluntari wins: 0
Draws: 0
FCSB wins: 1
Goals / game: 3.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

FC Voluntari v FCSB1–22026-10-19

Romanian Liga I table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Universitatea Craiova	15	10	3	2	+24	33	Universitatea Craiova won 4 of the last 5
2	Dinamo Bucuresti	15	10	3	2	+21	33	Dinamo Bucuresti won 3 of the last 5
3	Rapid	15	9	4	2	+10	31	Rapid won 3 of the last 5
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	15	8	3	4	+2	27	Petrolul Ploiesti won 2 of the last 5
5	Universitatea Cluj	15	8	2	5	+6	26	Universitatea Cluj won 2 of the last 5
6	Farul Constanta	15	6	6	3	+2	24	Farul Constanta won 3 of the last 5
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	15	6	4	5	+1	22	Corvinul Hunedoara won 3 of the last 5
8	FCSB	15	6	3	6	-1	21	FCSB won 3 of the last 5
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	15	5	4	6	-1	19	CFR 1907 Cluj won 1 of the last 5
10	Uta Arad	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Uta Arad won 2 of the last 5
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	15	4	6	5	-9	18	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 1 of the last 5
12	FC Botosani	15	3	6	6	-1	15	FC Botosani won 1 of the last 5
13	Arges Pitesti	15	4	3	8	-7	15	Arges Pitesti won 1 of the last 5
14	Oţelul	15	2	7	6	-6	13	Oţelul won 0 of the last 5
15	FC Voluntari	15	2	2	11	-18	8	FC Voluntari won 0 of the last 5
16	Csikszereda	15	1	3	11	-19	6	Csikszereda won 1 of the last 5