FC Voluntari won 0 of the last 5LLLLL15th1–2Farul Constanta won 3 of the last 5DWWLW6th
Match statistics
Full-time statistics
FC Voluntari
Farul Constanta
28
Shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
11
Corners
2
4
Fouls
7
1
Yellow cards
0
—
Red cards
—
2
Offsides
2
531
Passes
315
64%
Possession %
36%
—
xG
—
36%
25%
40%
1 · FC VoluntariXFarul Constanta · 2
Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
39%
Both score
64%
Model pick
Farul Constanta 40%
Likely score
1-1 11%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.62
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market
Selection
Ours
Fair
Best price
Implied
Gap
Match result
FC Voluntari
35.8%
2.79
3.20 Dafabet
31.3%
+4.5
Match result
Draw
24.6%
4.06
3.50 Betano
28.6%
-3.9
Match result
Farul Constanta
39.6%
2.53
2.30 Betfair
43.5%
-3.9
Total goals
Over 1.5
82.9%
1.21
1.27 Betano
78.7%
+4.1
Total goals
Under 1.5
17.1%
5.83
4.33 Betfair
23.1%
-6.0
Total goals
Over 2.5
61.1%
1.64
1.80 Betano
55.6%
+5.6
Total goals
Under 2.5
38.9%
2.57
2.10 Betfair
47.6%
-8.8
Total goals
Over 3.5
38.8%
2.58
2.95 Betano
33.9%
+4.9
Total goals
Under 3.5
61.2%
1.63
1.42 Betano
70.4%
-9.2
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes
63.5%
1.57
1.67 Betano
59.9%
+3.6
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No
36.5%
2.74
2.38 Betfair
42.0%
-5.5
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
FC Voluntari v Farul Constanta: too close to call
Our model makes FC Voluntari 36% to win this Romanian Liga I fixture, with the draw at 25% and Farul Constanta at 40%. The goal projection is 1.54 for FC Voluntari against 1.62 for Farul Constanta — almost nothing to Farul Constanta on expected output. A combined 3.16 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 61% and both teams to score at 64%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
Most likely scores
1-1 11%
1-2 9%
2-1 8%
2-2 7%
0-1 6%
This season
Season records for FC Voluntari and Farul Constanta
Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
FC Voluntari
Metric
Farul Constanta
1.00
Goals scored
1.80 (better)
2.20
Goals conceded
2.00 (better)
1.23
Expected goals (xG)
1.38 (better)
—
Big chances *
—
4.20
Shots on target
6.50 (better)
14.40 (better)
Total shots
12.00
—
Touches in opp. box *
—
3.80 (better)
Corners
3.25
47.6
Possession %
49.0 (better)
374
Passes
494 (better)
—
Tackles
—
11.40
Fouls
6.25 (better)
1.60
Offsides
1.00 (better)
—
Throw-ins *
—
2.60
Yellow cards
0.75 (better)
0.00 (better)
Red cards
0.33
* Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
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FC Voluntari v 
Farul Constanta