FC Anyang won 2 of the last 5LWDDW8th1–1Jeonbuk Motors won 1 of the last 5LDDWL5th
Match statistics
Full-time statistics
FC Anyang
Jeonbuk Motors
4
Shots
13
3
Shots on target
7
5
Corners
2
—
Fouls
—
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
—
Offsides
—
—
Passes
—
41%
Possession %
59%
—
xG
—
27%
27%
47%
1 · FC AnyangXJeonbuk Motors · 2
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%
Both score
53%
Model pick
Jeonbuk Motors 47%
Likely score
1-1 13%
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.53
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market
Selection
Ours
Fair
Best price
Implied
Gap
Match result
FC Anyang
26.7%
3.75
4.00 Betfair
25.0%
+1.7
Match result
Draw
26.7%
3.75
3.65 Dafabet
27.4%
-0.7
Match result
Jeonbuk Motors
46.7%
2.14
1.98 Dafabet
50.5%
-3.8
Total goals
Over 1.5
74.6%
1.34
1.27 Betano
78.7%
-4.2
Total goals
Under 1.5
25.4%
3.93
3.80 Betfair
26.3%
-0.9
Total goals
Over 2.5
49.1%
2.04
1.87 Betano
53.5%
-4.4
Total goals
Under 2.5
50.9%
1.96
2.00 Betfair
50.0%
+0.9
Total goals
Over 3.5
27.2%
3.68
3.25 Bet365
30.8%
-3.6
Total goals
Under 3.5
72.8%
1.37
1.37 Betano
73.0%
-0.2
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes
53.0%
1.89
1.73 William Hill
57.8%
-4.8
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No
47.0%
2.13
2.10 Betfair
47.6%
-0.6
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Jeonbuk Motors favoured against FC Anyang
Our model makes FC Anyang 27% to win this K League 1 fixture, with the draw at 27% and Jeonbuk Motors at 47%. The goal projection is 1.10 for FC Anyang against 1.53 for Jeonbuk Motors — a clear edge to Jeonbuk Motors on expected output. A combined 2.64 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 53%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
FC Anyang
Metric
Jeonbuk Motors
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.60 (better)
Goals conceded
1.80
—
Expected goals (xG)
1.47
—
Big chances *
—
3.80
Shots on target
4.60 (better)
12.40
Total shots
13.80 (better)
—
Touches in opp. box *
—
3.40
Corners
3.60 (better)
45.6
Possession %
48.2 (better)
371
Passes
442 (better)
—
Tackles
—
13.60
Fouls
8.40 (better)
1.25
Offsides
1.20 (better)
—
Throw-ins *
—
1.40
Yellow cards
1.20 (better)
0.00
Red cards
0.00
* Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Football statistics and betting opinion for adults. Gambling involves risk — never stake money you cannot afford to lose. By continuing you confirm you are 18 or over. We would also like to use analytics cookies to see which pages are useful. Privacy policy
FC Anyang v 
Jeonbuk Motors