Deportivo Riestra v Central Cordoba de Santiago
- Over 1.5
- 54%
- Over 2.5
- 26%
- Over 3.5
- 11%
- Both score
- 35%
- Model pick
- Deportivo Riestra 36%
- Likely score
- 0-0 18%
- Expected goals
- 0.95 – 0.83
Advised bets
Advised betfree for everyone
★★★★★Confidence 5 of 5- Selection
- Central Cordoba de Santiago
- Advised price
- 4.83 (Pinnacle)
- Stake
- 2.00 units
- Fair price
- 3.40
Model probability 29% against an offered price implying less, for a modelled edge of 42.1%. Projection: 0.95–0.83. The edge is an estimate and carries model error; stake accordingly.
Advised betfree for everyone
★★★★Confidence 4 of 5- Selection
- Draw
- Advised price
- 3.25 (Bet365)
- Stake
- 1.39 units
- Fair price
- 2.89
Model probability 35% against an offered price implying less, for a modelled edge of 12.5%. Projection: 0.95–0.83. The edge is an estimate and carries model error; stake accordingly.
Premium selection available
★★★★★Confidence 5 of 5- Market
- Total goals
- Modelled edge
- very large
The selection, the advised price and the staking are for patrons. Every premium call is published to the same archive as the free ones and is settled in public, win or lose.
Premium selection available
★★★★Confidence 4 of 5- Market
- Total goals
- Modelled edge
- large
The selection, the advised price and the staking are for patrons. Every premium call is published to the same archive as the free ones and is settled in public, win or lose.
Premium selection available
★Confidence 1 of 5- Market
- Total goals
- Modelled edge
- small
The selection, the advised price and the staking are for patrons. Every premium call is published to the same archive as the free ones and is settled in public, win or lose.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Riestra | 36.0% | 2.78 | 1.93 1xBet | 51.8% | -15.8 |
| Match result | Draw | 34.6% | 2.89 | 3.25 Bet365 | 30.8% | +3.8 |
| Match result | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 29.4% | 3.40 | 4.83 Pinnacle | 20.7% | +8.7 |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 1.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 26.4% | 3.78 | 2.73 Pinnacle | 36.6% | -10.2 |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | 1.50 Betano | 66.7% | +6.9 |
| Total goals | Over 3.5 | 10.6% | 9.47 | — | — | — |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score — Yes | 35.4% | 2.83 | 2.27 Betano | 44.1% | -8.6 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score — No | 64.6% | 1.55 | 1.60 William Hill | 62.5% | +2.1 |
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Deportivo Riestra v Central Cordoba de Santiago: too close to call
Our model makes Deportivo Riestra 36% to win this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture, with the draw at 35% and Central Cordoba de Santiago at 29%. The goal projection is 0.95 for Deportivo Riestra against 0.83 for Central Cordoba de Santiago — a slight edge to Deportivo Riestra on expected output. A combined 1.78 goals points to a low-scoring, tight affair, which puts over 2.5 at 26% and both teams to score at 35%. The single most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 18%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
- Most likely scores
- 0-0 18%
- 1-0 15%
- 1-1 14%
- 0-1 13%
- 2-0 8%
This season
| Deportivo Riestra | Central Cordoba de Santiago | |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 3-12-11 | W-D-L | 6-6-14 |
| 0.81 | Pts / game | 0.92 |
| 0.50 | Goals for / game | 0.69 |
| 0.85 | Goals against / game | 1.31 |
| 12% | Over 2.5 | 31% |
| 23% | BTTS | 31% |
| 38% | Clean sheets | 31% |
| 65% | Failed to score | 54% |
| 3-6-4 | Home record | 5-2-6 |
| 0-6-7 | Away record | 1-4-8 |
| D1 | Streak | D1 |
2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Deportivo Riestra · Central Cordoba de Santiago
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
No full-match statistics on record yet this season.
Conceded
No full-match statistics on record yet this season.
Form comparison
| Deportivo Riestra | Metric | Central Cordoba de Santiago |
|---|---|---|
| 0.60 | Goals scored | 0.80 (better) |
| 1.20 (better) | Goals conceded | 1.60 |
| 0.93 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.41 (better) |
| Big chances | ||
| 3.75 (better) | Shots on target | 3.60 |
| 11.00 | Total shots | 18.00 (better) |
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| 2.75 | Corners | 7.20 (better) |
| 34.8 | Possession % | 48.4 (better) |
| 244 | Passes | 388 (better) |
| Tackles | ||
| 15.50 | Fouls | 9.80 (better) |
| 3.75 | Offsides | 2.00 (better) |
| Throw-ins | ||
| 2.50 | Yellow cards | 1.40 (better) |
| 0.00 | Red cards | 0.00 |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to headFull record →
- Deportivo Riestra wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Central Cordoba de Santiago wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 1.50
- Over 2.5
- 0%
- Both score
- 0%
- Central Cordoba de Santiago v Deportivo Riestra1–02026-03-18
- Deportivo Riestra v Central Cordoba de Santiago2–02025-09-12
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgrano Cordoba | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | +12 | 52 | Belgrano Cordoba won 1 of the last 5 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | +10 | 52 | Argentinos JRS won 1 of the last 5 |
| 3 | Independ. Rivadavia | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | +14 | 51 | Independ. Rivadavia won 3 of the last 5 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +8 | 50 | Rosario Central won 2 of the last 5 |
| 5 | River Plate | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | +13 | 49 | River Plate won 3 of the last 5 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | +16 | 48 | Boca Juniors won 3 of the last 5 |
| 7 | Velez Sarsfield | 27 | 12 | 12 | 3 | +11 | 48 | Velez Sarsfield won 2 of the last 5 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | -1 | 46 | Gimnasia L.P. won 2 of the last 5 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | +6 | 43 | Instituto Cordoba won 3 of the last 5 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | +10 | 41 | Estudiantes L.P. won 1 of the last 5 |
| 11 | Independiente | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +4 | 41 | Independiente won 2 of the last 5 |
| 12 | Huracan | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | +6 | 40 | Huracan won 2 of the last 5 |
| 13 | Lanus | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +5 | 40 | Lanus won 3 of the last 5 |
| 14 | Union Santa Fe | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 | Union Santa Fe won 3 of the last 5 |
| 15 | Defensa Y Justicia | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | -1 | 37 | Defensa Y Justicia won 3 of the last 5 |
| 16 | Gimnasia M. | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 36 | Gimnasia M. won 2 of the last 5 |
| 17 | Sarmiento Junin | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | -6 | 35 | Sarmiento Junin won 2 of the last 5 |
| 18 | Talleres Cordoba | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -3 | 34 | Talleres Cordoba won 1 of the last 5 |
| 19 | San Lorenzo | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -4 | 34 | San Lorenzo won 1 of the last 5 |
| 20 | Racing Club | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 33 | Racing Club won 1 of the last 5 |
| 21 | Barracas Central | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 33 | Barracas Central won 0 of the last 5 |
| 22 | Tigre | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 32 | Tigre won 1 of the last 5 |
| 23 | Newells Old Boys | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -9 | 31 | Newells Old Boys won 2 of the last 5 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -4 | 27 | Atletico Tucuman won 1 of the last 5 |
| 25 | Banfield | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 27 | Banfield won 0 of the last 5 |
| 26 | Platense | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -11 | 25 | Platense won 1 of the last 5 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 24 | Central Cordoba de Santiago won 0 of the last 5 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 26 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -9 | 21 | Deportivo Riestra won 0 of the last 5 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -17 | 16 | Aldosivi won 2 of the last 5 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 26 | 2 | 5 | 19 | -27 | 11 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto won 0 of the last 5 |