Csikszereda v Universitatea Cluj

16th0–05th

13:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Csikszereda		Universitatea Cluj
13	Shots	14
3	Shots on target	5
3	Corners	5
11	Fouls	8
0	Yellow cards	2
—	Red cards	—
1	Offsides	3
370	Passes	550
40%	Possession %	60%
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 80%
Over 2.5: 57%
Over 3.5: 35%
Both score: 57%

Model pick: Universitatea Cluj 55%
Likely score: 1-1 11%
Expected goals: 1.10 – 1.88

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Csikszereda	21.5%	4.65	6.25 Bet365	16.0%	+5.5
Match result	Draw	23.5%	4.25	4.30 Dafabet	23.3%	+0.3
Match result	Universitatea Cluj	55.0%	1.82	1.55 Betano	64.5%	-9.6
Total goals	Over 1.5	80.2%	1.25	1.25 Betano	80.0%	+0.2
Total goals	Under 1.5	19.8%	5.06	4.75 BetVictor	21.1%	-1.3
Total goals	Over 2.5	57.1%	1.75	1.75 Betano	57.1%	-0.0
Total goals	Under 2.5	42.9%	2.33	2.38 Betfair	42.0%	+0.9
Total goals	Over 3.5	34.7%	2.88	2.88 Betfair	34.7%	+0.0
Total goals	Under 3.5	65.3%	1.53	1.50 Bet365	66.7%	-1.4
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	57.0%	1.75	1.83 Bet365	54.6%	+2.4
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	43.0%	2.33	2.15 William Hill	46.5%	-3.5

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Universitatea Cluj favoured against Csikszereda

Our model makes Csikszereda 22% to win this Romanian Liga I fixture, with the draw at 24% and Universitatea Cluj at 55%. The goal projection is 1.10 for Csikszereda against 1.88 for Universitatea Cluj — a substantial edge to Universitatea Cluj on expected output. A combined 2.98 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 57% and both teams to score at 57%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 11%; 1-2 10%; 0-1 9%; 0-2 9%; 1-3 6%

This season

Season records for Csikszereda and Universitatea Cluj
Csikszereda		Universitatea Cluj
15	Played	15
1-3-11	W-D-L	8-2-5
0.40	Pts / game	1.73
0.60	Goals for / game	1.73
1.87	Goals against / game	1.33
40%	Over 2.5	73%
40%	BTTS	53%
13%	Clean sheets	33%
60%	Failed to score	20%
1-2-4	Home record	5-1-2
0-1-7	Away record	3-1-3
D1	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Csikszereda · Universitatea Cluj

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
13.0	Shots	13.3
3.8	Shots on target	5.0
2.2	Corners	5.2
2.33	Cards	3.33
10.8	Fouls	10.3
39	Possession %	52
0.89	xG	1.47
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
20.8	Shots	14.7
7.5	Shots on target	4.7
5.5	Corners	6.3
1.50	Cards	2.33
9.5	Fouls	13.3
61	Possession %	48
2.09	xG	1.62
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Csikszereda	Metric	Universitatea Cluj
0.80	Goals scored	2.80 (better)
1.00 (better)	Goals conceded	1.60
1.29	Expected goals (xG)	1.91 (better)
	Big chances
4.25	Shots on target	5.25 (better)
12.25	Total shots	14.00 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
2.00	Corners	6.25 (better)
36.8	Possession %	52.8 (better)
256	Passes	401 (better)
	Tackles
7.75 (better)	Fouls	10.75
1.67	Offsides	1.00 (better)
	Throw-ins
2.50 (better)	Yellow cards	3.75
2.00	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Csikszereda wins: 1
Draws: 1
Universitatea Cluj wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.67
Over 2.5: 67%
Both score: 67%

Csikszereda v Universitatea Cluj0–02026-11-07
Universitatea Cluj v Csikszereda4–12026-02-14
Csikszereda v Universitatea Cluj2–12025-10-04

Romanian Liga I table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Universitatea Craiova	15	10	3	2	+24	33	Universitatea Craiova won 4 of the last 5
2	Dinamo Bucuresti	15	10	3	2	+21	33	Dinamo Bucuresti won 3 of the last 5
3	Rapid	15	9	4	2	+10	31	Rapid won 3 of the last 5
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	15	8	3	4	+2	27	Petrolul Ploiesti won 2 of the last 5
5	Universitatea Cluj	15	8	2	5	+6	26	Universitatea Cluj won 2 of the last 5
6	Farul Constanta	15	6	6	3	+2	24	Farul Constanta won 3 of the last 5
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	15	6	4	5	+1	22	Corvinul Hunedoara won 3 of the last 5
8	FCSB	15	6	3	6	-1	21	FCSB won 3 of the last 5
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	15	5	4	6	-1	19	CFR 1907 Cluj won 1 of the last 5
10	Uta Arad	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Uta Arad won 2 of the last 5
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	15	4	6	5	-9	18	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 1 of the last 5
12	FC Botosani	15	3	6	6	-1	15	FC Botosani won 1 of the last 5
13	Arges Pitesti	15	4	3	8	-7	15	Arges Pitesti won 1 of the last 5
14	Oţelul	15	2	7	6	-6	13	Oţelul won 0 of the last 5
15	FC Voluntari	15	2	2	11	-18	8	FC Voluntari won 0 of the last 5
16	Csikszereda	15	1	3	11	-19	6	Csikszereda won 1 of the last 5