Csikszereda won 1 of the last 5DLWDL16th2–1FC Voluntari won 0 of the last 5LLLLL15th
Match statistics
Full-time statistics
Csikszereda
FC Voluntari
19
Shots
16
7
Shots on target
4
3
Corners
3
10
Fouls
7
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
2
Offsides
2
341
Passes
454
43%
Possession %
57%
1.06
xG
0.83
43%
25%
32%
1 · CsikszeredaXFC Voluntari · 2
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
37%
Both score
62%
Model pick
Csikszereda 43%
Likely score
1-1 11%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.42
Advised bets
No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.
Our probabilities against the market
Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market
Selection
Ours
Fair
Best price
Implied
Gap
Match result
Csikszereda
43.1%
2.32
2.90 William Hill
34.5%
+8.6
Match result
Draw
24.8%
4.04
3.45 Dafabet
29.0%
-4.2
Match result
FC Voluntari
32.1%
3.11
2.65 Dafabet
37.7%
-5.6
Total goals
Over 1.5
81.9%
1.22
1.26 Betano
79.4%
+2.6
Total goals
Under 1.5
18.1%
5.53
4.20 Betfair
23.8%
-5.7
Total goals
Over 2.5
59.6%
1.68
1.85 Bet365
54.1%
+5.6
Total goals
Under 2.5
40.4%
2.48
2.07 Betano
48.3%
-8.0
Total goals
Over 3.5
37.3%
2.68
3.25 Bet365
30.8%
+6.5
Total goals
Under 3.5
62.7%
1.59
1.42 Betano
70.4%
-7.7
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — Yes
62.1%
1.61
1.88 Betano
53.2%
+8.9
Both teams to score
Both teams to score — No
37.9%
2.64
2.38 Betfair
42.0%
-4.1
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
Csikszereda favoured against FC Voluntari
Our model makes Csikszereda 43% to win this Romanian Liga I fixture, with the draw at 25% and FC Voluntari at 32%. The goal projection is 1.67 for Csikszereda against 1.42 for FC Voluntari — a clear edge to Csikszereda on expected output. A combined 3.09 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 60% and both teams to score at 62%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.
Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Csikszereda
Metric
FC Voluntari
0.60
Goals scored
1.00 (better)
2.40
Goals conceded
1.40 (better)
0.93
Expected goals (xG)
1.32 (better)
—
Big chances *
—
3.80
Shots on target
5.00 (better)
10.80
Total shots
13.50 (better)
—
Touches in opp. box *
—
2.20
Corners
4.00 (better)
41.4
Possession %
46.5 (better)
333
Passes
370 (better)
—
Tackles
—
13.00
Fouls
9.75 (better)
1.40
Offsides
1.25 (better)
—
Throw-ins *
—
1.60 (better)
Yellow cards
2.50
0.67
Red cards
—
* Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
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Csikszereda v 
FC Voluntari