Corvinul Hunedoara v Universitatea Cluj

7th0–35th

18:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Corvinul Hunedoara		Universitatea Cluj
19	Shots	10
4	Shots on target	5
10	Corners	3
13	Fouls	12
0	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Offsides	1
574	Passes	264
69%	Possession %	31%
1.10	xG	0.99

Over 1.5: 78%
Over 2.5: 54%
Over 3.5: 31%
Both score: 58%

Model pick: Corvinul Hunedoara 41%
Likely score: 1-1 12%
Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.33

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Corvinul Hunedoara	40.7%	2.46	3.00 Betfair	33.3%	+7.3
Match result	Draw	26.3%	3.81	3.40 Betfair	29.4%	-3.2
Match result	Universitatea Cluj	33.1%	3.02	2.70 Dafabet	37.0%	-4.0
Total goals	Over 1.5	77.8%	1.28	1.29 Betano	77.5%	+0.3
Total goals	Under 1.5	22.2%	4.51	3.80 Betfair	26.3%	-4.2
Total goals	Over 2.5	53.6%	1.87	1.88 Betano	53.2%	+0.4
Total goals	Under 2.5	46.4%	2.15	1.98 Betano	50.5%	-4.1
Total goals	Over 3.5	31.3%	3.20	3.25 Betfair	30.8%	+0.5
Total goals	Under 3.5	68.7%	1.46	1.39 Betano	71.9%	-3.2
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	57.6%	1.74	1.83 Betano	54.6%	+2.9
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	42.4%	2.36	2.20 Betfair	45.5%	-3.0

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Corvinul Hunedoara favoured against Universitatea Cluj

Our model makes Corvinul Hunedoara 41% to win this Romanian Liga I fixture, with the draw at 26% and Universitatea Cluj at 33%. The goal projection is 1.50 for Corvinul Hunedoara against 1.33 for Universitatea Cluj — a slight edge to Corvinul Hunedoara on expected output. A combined 2.82 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 58%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 12%; 2-1 9%; 1-0 8%; 1-2 8%; 0-1 7%

This season

Season records for Corvinul Hunedoara and Universitatea Cluj
Corvinul Hunedoara		Universitatea Cluj
15	Played	15
6-4-5	W-D-L	8-2-5
1.47	Pts / game	1.73
1.13	Goals for / game	1.73
1.07	Goals against / game	1.33
33%	Over 2.5	73%
27%	BTTS	53%
40%	Clean sheets	33%
47%	Failed to score	20%
4-2-2	Home record	5-1-2
2-2-3	Away record	3-1-3
W2	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Corvinul Hunedoara · Universitatea Cluj

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
15.3	Shots	13.3
4.3	Shots on target	5.0
6.2	Corners	5.2
2.33	Cards	3.33
15.3	Fouls	10.3
51	Possession %	52
1.74	xG	1.47
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
15.5	Shots	14.7
5.7	Shots on target	4.7
3.8	Corners	6.3
2.83	Cards	2.33
10.2	Fouls	13.3
50	Possession %	48
1.49	xG	1.62
6 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Corvinul Hunedoara	Metric	Universitatea Cluj
1.60	Goals scored	2.20 (better)
1.40 (better)	Goals conceded	1.80
1.90 (better)	Expected goals (xG)	1.67
	Big chances
6.25 (better)	Shots on target	4.40
16.75 (better)	Total shots	13.80
	Touches in opp. box
6.75 (better)	Corners	5.40
50.0	Possession %	57.4 (better)
368	Passes	486 (better)
	Tackles
17.25	Fouls	9.40 (better)
2.00	Offsides	1.40 (better)
	Throw-ins
3.75	Yellow cards	2.40 (better)
0.00	Red cards	0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Corvinul Hunedoara wins: 0
Draws: 0
Universitatea Cluj wins: 1
Goals / game: 3.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 0%

Corvinul Hunedoara v Universitatea Cluj0–32026-10-23

Romanian Liga I table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Universitatea Craiova	15	10	3	2	+24	33	Universitatea Craiova won 4 of the last 5
2	Dinamo Bucuresti	15	10	3	2	+21	33	Dinamo Bucuresti won 3 of the last 5
3	Rapid	15	9	4	2	+10	31	Rapid won 3 of the last 5
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	15	8	3	4	+2	27	Petrolul Ploiesti won 2 of the last 5
5	Universitatea Cluj	15	8	2	5	+6	26	Universitatea Cluj won 2 of the last 5
6	Farul Constanta	15	6	6	3	+2	24	Farul Constanta won 3 of the last 5
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	15	6	4	5	+1	22	Corvinul Hunedoara won 3 of the last 5
8	FCSB	15	6	3	6	-1	21	FCSB won 3 of the last 5
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	15	5	4	6	-1	19	CFR 1907 Cluj won 1 of the last 5
10	Uta Arad	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Uta Arad won 2 of the last 5
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	15	4	6	5	-9	18	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 1 of the last 5
12	FC Botosani	15	3	6	6	-1	15	FC Botosani won 1 of the last 5
13	Arges Pitesti	15	4	3	8	-7	15	Arges Pitesti won 1 of the last 5
14	Oţelul	15	2	7	6	-6	13	Oţelul won 0 of the last 5
15	FC Voluntari	15	2	2	11	-18	8	FC Voluntari won 0 of the last 5
16	Csikszereda	15	1	3	11	-19	6	Csikszereda won 1 of the last 5