Coruxo v Zamora

0–2

18:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Coruxo		Zamora
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
—	Corners	—
—	Fouls	—
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
—	Offsides	—
—	Passes	—
—	Possession %	—
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 81%
Over 2.5: 59%
Over 3.5: 36%
Both score: 62%

Model pick: Zamora 39%
Likely score: 1-1 12%
Expected goals: 1.48 – 1.56

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Coruxo	35.5%	2.81	3.70 Betfair	27.0%	+8.5
Match result	Draw	25.2%	3.97	3.45 Dafabet	29.0%	-3.8
Match result	Zamora	39.3%	2.55	2.20 Bet365	45.5%	-6.2
Total goals	Over 1.5	81.2%	1.23	1.40 Bet365	71.4%	+9.8
Total goals	Under 1.5	18.8%	5.33	3.25 Bet365	30.8%	-12.0
Total goals	Over 2.5	58.6%	1.71	2.25 Bet365	44.4%	+14.2
Total goals	Under 2.5	41.4%	2.42	1.67 Bet365	59.9%	-18.5
Total goals	Over 3.5	36.2%	2.76	4.10 Betfair	24.4%	+11.8
Total goals	Under 3.5	63.8%	1.57	1.25 Betano	80.0%	-16.2
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	61.6%	1.62	2.00 Betfair	50.0%	+11.6
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	38.4%	2.60	1.87 Betfair	53.5%	-15.1

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Coruxo v Zamora: too close to call

Our model makes Coruxo 36% to win this Copa del Rey fixture, with the draw at 25% and Zamora at 39%. The goal projection is 1.48 for Coruxo against 1.56 for Zamora — almost nothing to Zamora on expected output. A combined 3.04 goals points to an open game around the league average, which puts over 2.5 at 59% and both teams to score at 62%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 12%; 1-2 9%; 2-1 8%; 0-1 7%; 1-0 7%

This season

Season records for Coruxo and Zamora
Coruxo		Zamora
1	Played	1
0-0-1	W-D-L	1-0-0
0.00	Pts / game	3.00
0.00	Goals for / game	2.00
2.00	Goals against / game	0.00
0%	Over 2.5	0%
0%	BTTS	0%
0%	Clean sheets	100%
100%	Failed to score	0%
0-0-1	Home record	0-0-0
0-0-0	Away record	1-0-0
L1	Streak	W1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Coruxo · Zamora

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
—	Corners	—
2.00	Cards	1.00
—	Fouls	—
—	Possession %	—
—	xG	—
1 matches	sample	1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
—	Corners	—
1.00	Cards	2.00
—	Fouls	—
—	Possession %	—
—	xG	—
1 matches	sample	1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Coruxo	Metric	Zamora
0.80	Goals scored	1.20 (better)
1.40	Goals conceded	0.80 (better)
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Coruxo wins: 0
Draws: 0
Zamora wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.00
Over 2.5: 0%
Both score: 0%

Coruxo v Zamora0–22026-10-29