Chelsea v Leeds
1–0ChelseaChelsea won 2 of the last 510thLeedsLeeds won 2 of the last 55th
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the marketFree
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Chelsea | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2-1-2 | W-D-L | 2-3-0 |
| 1.40 | Pts / game | 1.80 |
| 2.00 | Goals for / game | 1.40 |
| 2.40 | Goals against / game | 0.60 |
| 100% | Over 2.5 | 20% |
| 80% | BTTS | 60% |
| 0% | Clean sheets | 40% |
| 20% | Failed to score | 20% |
| 1-1-0 | Home record | 1-2-0 |
| 1-0-2 | Away record | 1-1-0 |
| L1 | Streak | D1 |
2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Chelsea · Leeds
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 12.0 | Shots | 14.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Shots on target | 4.0 |
| 12.0 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 0.00 | Cards | 1.50 |
| 7.0 | Fouls | 9.0 |
| 60 | Possession % | 51 |
| — | xG | 1.70 |
| 1 matches | sample | 2 matches |
Conceded
| 13.0 | Shots | 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.0 | Shots on target | 4.5 |
| 4.0 | Corners | 4.0 |
| 2.00 | Cards | 2.50 |
| 10.0 | Fouls | 12.5 |
| 40 | Possession % | 50 |
| — | xG | 0.97 |
| 1 matches | sample | 2 matches |
Form comparison
| Chelsea | Metric | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to headFull record →
- Chelsea wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Leeds wins
- 1
- Goals / game
- 3.00
- Over 2.5
- 67%
- Both score
- 67%
- Chelsea v Leeds1–02026-04-26
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- Leeds v Chelsea3–12025-12-03