CFR 1907 Cluj v Dinamo Bucuresti

9th2–21st

17:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
CFR 1907 Cluj		Dinamo Bucuresti
10	Shots	24
4	Shots on target	7
4	Corners	9
9	Fouls	10
4	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
1	Offsides	1
212	Passes	693
24%	Possession %	76%
0.81	xG	1.20

Over 1.5: 73%
Over 2.5: 47%
Over 3.5: 26%
Both score: 53%

Model pick: Dinamo Bucuresti 39%
Likely score: 1-1 13%
Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.36

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	CFR 1907 Cluj	32.9%	3.04	4.60 William Hill	21.7%	+11.1
Match result	Draw	27.7%	3.60	3.80 Betano	26.3%	+1.4
Match result	Dinamo Bucuresti	39.4%	2.54	1.75 Betfair	57.1%	-17.7
Total goals	Over 1.5	73.3%	1.36	1.27 Betano	78.7%	-5.4
Total goals	Under 1.5	26.7%	3.75	4.10 Betfair	24.4%	+2.3
Total goals	Over 2.5	47.4%	2.11	1.80 Bet365	55.6%	-8.1
Total goals	Under 2.5	52.6%	1.90	2.05 Betano	48.8%	+3.8
Total goals	Over 3.5	25.8%	3.88	3.10 Betfair	32.3%	-6.5
Total goals	Under 3.5	74.2%	1.35	1.42 Betano	70.4%	+3.8
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	52.9%	1.89	1.75 Betano	57.1%	-4.3
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	47.1%	2.12	2.10 William Hill	47.6%	-0.5

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

CFR 1907 Cluj v Dinamo Bucuresti: too close to call

Our model makes CFR 1907 Cluj 33% to win this Romanian Liga I fixture, with the draw at 28% and Dinamo Bucuresti at 39%. The goal projection is 1.22 for CFR 1907 Cluj against 1.36 for Dinamo Bucuresti — a slight edge to Dinamo Bucuresti on expected output. A combined 2.57 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 13%; 0-1 10%; 1-0 9%; 1-2 9%; 0-0 8%

This season

Season records for CFR 1907 Cluj and Dinamo Bucuresti
CFR 1907 Cluj		Dinamo Bucuresti
14	Played	15
5-3-6	W-D-L	10-3-2
1.29	Pts / game	2.20
1.43	Goals for / game	2.13
1.50	Goals against / game	0.73
64%	Over 2.5	53%
57%	BTTS	53%
29%	Clean sheets	40%
21%	Failed to score	7%
3-2-1	Home record	7-0-0
2-1-5	Away record	3-3-2
D2	Streak	L1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. CFR 1907 Cluj · Dinamo Bucuresti

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
10.0	Shots	19.8
3.4	Shots on target	6.0
3.2	Corners	7.2
2.40	Cards	2.00
11.8	Fouls	9.8
36	Possession %	60
1.28	xG	2.73
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
21.8	Shots	10.3
5.8	Shots on target	3.8
7.2	Corners	3.8
3.00	Cards	3.33
8.8	Fouls	10.5
64	Possession %	41
1.77	xG	0.84
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
CFR 1907 Cluj	Metric	Dinamo Bucuresti
1.60	Goals scored	2.60 (better)
1.60	Goals conceded	0.40 (better)
2.45	Expected goals (xG)	3.03 (better)
	Big chances
5.50	Shots on target	8.00 (better)
15.25	Total shots	19.80 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
4.50	Corners	6.40 (better)
45.3	Possession %	55.0 (better)
380	Passes	474 (better)
	Tackles
11.75	Fouls	11.00 (better)
0.75 (better)	Offsides	1.50
	Throw-ins
1.25 (better)	Yellow cards	2.20
0.00 (better)	Red cards	0.20

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

CFR 1907 Cluj wins: 1
Draws: 3
Dinamo Bucuresti wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.20
Over 2.5: 40%
Both score: 60%

CFR 1907 Cluj v Dinamo Bucuresti2–22026-10-25
Dinamo Bucuresti v CFR 1907 Cluj0–02026-05-16
CFR 1907 Cluj v Dinamo Bucuresti1–12026-04-12
CFR 1907 Cluj v Dinamo Bucuresti2–02026-03-09
Dinamo Bucuresti v CFR 1907 Cluj2–12025-10-31

Romanian Liga I table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	15	10	3	2	+21	33	Dinamo Bucuresti won 3 of the last 5
2	Universitatea Craiova	14	10	2	2	+24	32	Universitatea Craiova won 5 of the last 5
3	Rapid	15	9	4	2	+10	31	Rapid won 3 of the last 5
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	15	8	3	4	+2	27	Petrolul Ploiesti won 2 of the last 5
5	Universitatea Cluj	15	8	2	5	+6	26	Universitatea Cluj won 2 of the last 5
6	Farul Constanta	15	6	6	3	+2	24	Farul Constanta won 3 of the last 5
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	15	6	4	5	+1	22	Corvinul Hunedoara won 3 of the last 5
8	FCSB	15	6	3	6	-1	21	FCSB won 3 of the last 5
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	14	5	3	6	-1	18	CFR 1907 Cluj won 1 of the last 5
10	Uta Arad	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Uta Arad won 2 of the last 5
11	Arges Pitesti	15	4	3	8	-7	15	Arges Pitesti won 1 of the last 5
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	14	3	6	5	-10	15	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 0 of the last 5
13	FC Botosani	14	3	5	6	-1	14	FC Botosani won 1 of the last 5
14	Oţelul	14	2	6	6	-6	12	Oţelul won 0 of the last 5
15	FC Voluntari	14	2	2	10	-17	8	FC Voluntari won 0 of the last 5
16	Csikszereda	15	1	3	11	-19	6	Csikszereda won 1 of the last 5