CFFA v Young Africans

0–4

12:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
CFFA		Young Africans
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
—	Corners	—
—	Fouls	—
—	Yellow cards	—
—	Red cards	—
—	Offsides	—
—	Passes	—
—	Possession %	—
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 67%
Over 2.5: 39%
Over 3.5: 19%
Both score: 46%

Model pick: CFFA 41%
Likely score: 1-1 14%
Expected goals: 1.25 – 1.01

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	CFFA	41.0%	2.44	—	—	—
Match result	Draw	29.7%	3.37	7.00 BetVictor	14.3%	+15.4
Match result	Young Africans	29.3%	3.42	1.16 Dafabet	86.2%	-57.0
Total goals	Over 1.5	66.7%	1.50	1.17 Betfair	85.5%	-18.8
Total goals	Under 1.5	33.3%	3.00	5.00 Betfair	20.0%	+13.3
Total goals	Over 2.5	39.4%	2.54	1.62 Bet365	61.7%	-22.3
Total goals	Under 2.5	60.6%	1.65	2.38 Betfair	42.0%	+18.6
Total goals	Over 3.5	19.3%	5.18	2.55 Betfair	39.2%	-19.9
Total goals	Under 3.5	80.7%	1.24	1.50 Betfair	66.7%	+14.0
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	46.1%	2.17	2.70 BetVictor	37.0%	+9.0
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	53.9%	1.85	1.44 Betfair	69.4%	-15.5

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

CFFA favoured against Young Africans

Our model makes CFFA 41% to win this CAF Champions League fixture, with the draw at 30% and Young Africans at 29%. The goal projection is 1.25 for CFFA against 1.01 for Young Africans — a slight edge to CFFA on expected output. A combined 2.26 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 39% and both teams to score at 46%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 14%; 1-0 12%; 0-0 11%; 0-1 10%; 2-1 8%

This season

Season records for CFFA and Young Africans
CFFA		Young Africans
4	Played	4
1-1-2	W-D-L	3-1-0
1.00	Pts / game	2.50
1.00	Goals for / game	2.75
2.25	Goals against / game	0.75
50%	Over 2.5	75%
50%	BTTS	75%
25%	Clean sheets	25%
25%	Failed to score	0%
1-0-1	Home record	2-0-0
0-1-1	Away record	1-1-0
L2	Streak	W3

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. CFFA · Young Africans

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
—	Corners	—
0.00	Cards	0.00
—	Fouls	—
—	Possession %	—
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—	Shots	—
—	Shots on target	—
—	Corners	—
0.00	Cards	0.00
—	Fouls	—
—	Possession %	—
—	xG	—
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (4 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
CFFA	Metric	Young Africans
1.50	Goals scored	1.60 (better)
1.50	Goals conceded	0.40 (better)
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

CFFA wins: 0
Draws: 0
Young Africans wins: 2
Goals / game: 4.50
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 50%

Young Africans v CFFA4–12026-10-21
CFFA v Young Africans0–42026-10-17