Burgos 3–1 AD Ceuta FC

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Burgos and AD Ceuta FC
Burgos		AD Ceuta FC
13	Played	13
7-3-3	W-D-L	1-2-10
1.85	Pts / game	0.38
1.46	Goals for / game	0.77
1.08	Goals against / game	2.31
54%	Over 2.5	62%
62%	BTTS	62%
23%	Clean sheets	0%
23%	Failed to score	38%
5-2-1	Home record	1-1-5
2-1-2	Away record	0-1-5
W1	Streak	L5

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Burgos · AD Ceuta FC

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
12.6	Shots	18.3
4.9	Shots on target	5.1
4.6	Corners	7.1
2.50	Cards	3.13
13.4	Fouls	12.4
46	Possession %	53
1.53	xG	1.99
8 matches	sample	8 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
11.9	Shots	12.5
4.1	Shots on target	5.3
4.3	Corners	3.8
2.39	Cards	3.50
13.9	Fouls	18.5
54	Possession %	47
0.99	xG	1.99
8 matches	sample	8 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Burgos	Metric	AD Ceuta FC
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Burgos wins: 1
Draws: 1
AD Ceuta FC wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.33
Over 2.5: 33%
Both score: 67%

Burgos v AD Ceuta FC3–12026-09-11
Burgos v AD Ceuta FC1–12026-04-01
AD Ceuta FC v Burgos1–02025-11-29

Segunda División table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Almeria	13	9	2	2	+14	29	Almeria won 3 of the last 5
2	Castellón	12	8	3	1	+18	27	Castellón won 2 of the last 5
3	Burgos	13	7	3	3	+5	24	Burgos won 3 of the last 5
4	Eibar	12	7	2	3	+7	23	Eibar won 1 of the last 5
5	Granada CF	12	7	2	3	+6	23	Granada CF won 5 of the last 5
6	Mallorca	12	6	4	2	+8	22	Mallorca won 2 of the last 5
7	Sporting Gijon	13	7	1	5	-1	22	Sporting Gijon won 3 of the last 5
8	Girona	13	6	3	4	+10	21	Girona won 2 of the last 5
9	Oviedo	13	6	3	4	+3	21	Oviedo won 3 of the last 5
10	Las Palmas	13	6	2	5	-2	20	Las Palmas won 3 of the last 5
11	Cordoba	13	6	1	6	0	19	Cordoba won 3 of the last 5
12	Valladolid	13	5	3	5	+2	18	Valladolid won 3 of the last 5
13	Sabadell	13	4	6	3	+1	18	Sabadell won 1 of the last 5
14	Tenerife	12	3	6	3	-2	15	Tenerife won 0 of the last 5
15	Eldense	13	4	2	7	-6	14	Eldense won 2 of the last 5
16	Celta de Vigo II	13	3	4	6	-6	13	Celta de Vigo II won 1 of the last 5
17	Real Sociedad II	13	3	3	7	-7	12	Real Sociedad II won 1 of the last 5
18	Leganes	13	3	3	7	-12	12	Leganes won 0 of the last 5
19	FC Andorra	12	3	2	7	-5	11	FC Andorra won 1 of the last 5
20	Cadiz	13	2	4	7	-2	10	Cadiz won 1 of the last 5
21	Albacete	13	3	1	9	-11	10	Albacete won 3 of the last 5
22	AD Ceuta FC	13	1	2	10	-20	5	AD Ceuta FC won 0 of the last 5