Predicted Edge

Bristol City v Watford

Bristol City won 1 of the last 517th5–1Watford won 2 of the last 520th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Bristol City and Watford
Bristol City Watford
15Played15
5-3-7W-D-L4-3-8
1.20Pts / game1.00
1.07Goals for / game0.87
1.60Goals against / game1.53
53%Over 2.540%
53%BTTS47%
13%Clean sheets20%
40%Failed to score40%
2-0-6Home record4-2-2
3-3-1Away record0-1-6
L2StreakD1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Bristol City · Watford

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
13.0Shots12.3
4.2Shots on target3.8
5.9Corners4.0
1.22Cards2.75
10.9Fouls11.8
47Possession %47
1.52xG1.04
9 matchessample8 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
12.7Shots17.4
3.8Shots on target5.1
5.3Corners6.0
1.78Cards2.25
9.9Fouls12.1
53Possession %54
1.40xG1.85
9 matchessample8 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Bristol CityMetricWatford
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Bristol City wins
2
Draws
1
Watford wins
1
Goals / game
3.00
Over 2.5
50%
Both score
75%