Birmingham 2–1 Watford

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Birmingham and Watford
Birmingham		Watford
15	Played	15
8-5-2	W-D-L	4-3-8
1.93	Pts / game	1.00
1.87	Goals for / game	0.87
0.93	Goals against / game	1.53
73%	Over 2.5	40%
60%	BTTS	47%
33%	Clean sheets	20%
13%	Failed to score	40%
4-4-0	Home record	4-2-2
4-1-2	Away record	0-1-6
W3	Streak	D1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Birmingham · Watford

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
15.4	Shots	12.3
5.9	Shots on target	3.8
5.0	Corners	4.0
2.00	Cards	2.75
11.5	Fouls	11.8
54	Possession %	47
1.85	xG	1.04
8 matches	sample	8 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
12.3	Shots	17.4
3.3	Shots on target	5.1
3.8	Corners	6.0
1.66	Cards	2.25
10.1	Fouls	12.1
46	Possession %	54
1.38	xG	1.85
8 matches	sample	8 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Birmingham	Metric	Watford
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Birmingham wins: 1
Draws: 0
Watford wins: 1
Goals / game: 3.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 50%

Watford v Birmingham3–02026-01-01
Birmingham v Watford2–12025-12-01

Championship table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29	Birmingham won 4 of the last 5
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29	Middlesbrough won 2 of the last 5
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29	Stoke City won 4 of the last 5
4	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	28	Southampton won 2 of the last 5
5	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28	Wolves won 3 of the last 5
6	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28	West Brom won 3 of the last 5
7	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26	Swansea won 1 of the last 5
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24	QPR won 2 of the last 5
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23	West Ham won 1 of the last 5
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22	Sheffield Utd won 3 of the last 5
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22	Portsmouth won 2 of the last 5
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21	Norwich won 4 of the last 5
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21	Blackburn won 2 of the last 5
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18	Cardiff won 2 of the last 5
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18	Wrexham won 2 of the last 5
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18	Millwall won 1 of the last 5
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18	Bristol City won 1 of the last 5
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17	Bolton won 1 of the last 5
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17	Charlton won 1 of the last 5
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15	Watford won 2 of the last 5
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15	Lincoln won 1 of the last 5
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10	Burnley won 0 of the last 5
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10	Derby won 1 of the last 5
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8	Preston won 1 of the last 5