Predicted Edge

Benfica v Bayern München

1–0BenficaBenfica won 4 of the last 52ndBayern MünchenBayern München won 3 of the last 42nd

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a bet is only advised where the gap clears our threshold after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Benfica and Bayern München
Benfica Bayern München
7Played4
5-1-1W-D-L3-1-0
2.29Pts / game2.50
3.14Goals for / game3.50
1.00Goals against / game0.50
100%Over 2.575%
57%BTTS50%
43%Clean sheets50%
0%Failed to score25%
2-1-0Home record2-0-0
3-0-1Away record1-1-0
L1StreakW2

2025 league matches only, computed from results on record. Benfica · Bayern München

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
—Shots23.0
—Shots on target15.0
—Corners9.0
—Cards1.00
—Fouls12.0
—Possession %68
—xG—
—sample1 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
—Shots3.0
—Shots on target2.0
—Corners2.0
—Cards3.00
—Fouls9.0
—Possession %32
—xG—
—sample1 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
BenficaMetricBayern München
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Benfica wins
1
Draws
0
Bayern München wins
0
Goals / game
1.00
Over 2.5
0%
Both score
0%