Bayern München v 
RB Leipzig
Bayern München won 3 of the last 51st2–0RB Leipzig won 4 of the last 54th
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Bayern München | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6-3-0 | W-D-L | 6-0-3 |
| 2.33 | Pts / game | 2.00 |
| 3.22 | Goals for / game | 3.00 |
| 1.00 | Goals against / game | 1.44 |
| 89% | Over 2.5 | 78% |
| 78% | BTTS | 33% |
| 22% | Clean sheets | 56% |
| 11% | Failed to score | 11% |
| 3-1-0 | Home record | 5-0-0 |
| 3-2-0 | Away record | 1-0-3 |
| W1 | Streak | W3 |
2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Bayern München · RB Leipzig
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 23.9 | Shots | 14.7 |
|---|---|---|
| 10.4 | Shots on target | 6.0 |
| 7.7 | Corners | 4.6 |
| 1.14 | Cards | 1.43 |
| 10.0 | Fouls | 10.3 |
| 63 | Possession % | 54 |
| 3.80 | xG | 2.54 |
| 7 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Conceded
| 10.6 | Shots | 14.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4 | Shots on target | 6.1 |
| 3.4 | Corners | 6.0 |
| 1.86 | Cards | 1.86 |
| 7.7 | Fouls | 14.0 |
| 37 | Possession % | 46 |
| 1.12 | xG | 1.59 |
| 7 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Form comparison
| Bayern München | Metric | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Bayern München wins
- 4
- Draws
- 0
- RB Leipzig wins
- 0
- Goals / game
- 5.25
- Over 2.5
- 75%
- Both score
- 50%
- Bayern München v RB Leipzig6–12026-10-17
- Bayern München v RB Leipzig2–02026-02-11
- RB Leipzig v Bayern München1–52026-01-17
- Bayern München v RB Leipzig6–02025-08-22