Atletico-MG 2–1 Atletico Paranaense

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Atletico-MG and Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG		Atletico Paranaense
34	Played	34
14-8-12	W-D-L	15-9-10
1.47	Pts / game	1.59
1.29	Goals for / game	1.50
1.18	Goals against / game	1.26
47%	Over 2.5	50%
47%	BTTS	59%
24%	Clean sheets	24%
32%	Failed to score	24%
10-5-2	Home record	9-5-3
4-3-10	Away record	6-4-7
L3	Streak	L2

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Atletico-MG · Atletico Paranaense

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
14.4	Shots	16.9
5.1	Shots on target	5.4
6.0	Corners	8.4
1.77	Cards	2.45
13.0	Fouls	12.9
51	Possession %	56
1.17	xG	0.99
7 matches	sample	7 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
19.4	Shots	12.7
5.9	Shots on target	4.9
6.9	Corners	3.3
2.29	Cards	2.64
11.6	Fouls	12.9
49	Possession %	44
1.79	xG	1.20
7 matches	sample	7 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Atletico-MG	Metric	Atletico Paranaense
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Atletico-MG wins: 1
Draws: 1
Atletico Paranaense wins: 0
Goals / game: 3.50
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Atletico Paranaense v Atletico-MG2–22026-10-08
Atletico-MG v Atletico Paranaense2–12026-04-05

Brasileirão Série A table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	+42	76	Flamengo won 5 of the last 5
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	+39	73	Palmeiras won 4 of the last 5
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	+7	60	Cruzeiro won 4 of the last 5
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	+13	57	Fluminense won 2 of the last 5
5	Atletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	+8	54	Atletico Paranaense won 1 of the last 5
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	+5	53	Bahia won 2 of the last 5
7	Atletico-MG	34	14	8	12	+4	50	Atletico-MG won 2 of the last 5
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	+5	47	RB Bragantino won 3 of the last 5
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	+1	47	Santos won 1 of the last 5
10	Sao Paulo	34	12	8	14	0	44	Sao Paulo won 2 of the last 5
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	-7	42	Botafogo won 2 of the last 5
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	-11	42	Coritiba won 1 of the last 5
13	Vasco DA Gama	33	11	8	14	-7	41	Vasco DA Gama won 2 of the last 5
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	-9	40	Mirassol won 2 of the last 5
15	Internacional	34	9	11	14	-4	38	Internacional won 2 of the last 5
16	Vitoria	34	10	8	16	-16	38	Vitoria won 0 of the last 5
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	-6	37	Corinthians won 1 of the last 5
18	Gremio	34	9	10	15	-9	37	Gremio won 2 of the last 5
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	-20	29	Remo won 1 of the last 5
20	Chapecoense-sc	33	4	9	20	-35	21	Chapecoense-sc won 1 of the last 5