Atletico Madrid 3–2 Real Sociedad

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid		Real Sociedad
12	Played	12
9-1-2	W-D-L	7-1-4
2.33	Pts / game	1.83
1.92	Goals for / game	1.75
0.83	Goals against / game	1.67
67%	Over 2.5	75%
42%	BTTS	67%
50%	Clean sheets	17%
8%	Failed to score	25%
4-1-1	Home record	4-1-1
5-0-1	Away record	3-0-3
L1	Streak	W1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Atletico Madrid · Real Sociedad

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
17.4	Shots	15.7
6.4	Shots on target	4.7
5.8	Corners	6.1
2.50	Cards	2.48
11.3	Fouls	12.3
58	Possession %	53
1.98	xG	1.73
8 matches	sample	7 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
11.4	Shots	14.7
3.1	Shots on target	4.4
3.1	Corners	5.4
1.77	Cards	1.88
9.9	Fouls	9.6
43	Possession %	47
0.92	xG	1.70
8 matches	sample	7 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Atletico Madrid	Metric	Real Sociedad
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Atletico Madrid wins: 2
Draws: 2
Real Sociedad wins: 0
Goals / game: 3.50
Over 2.5: 75%
Both score: 75%

Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid0–32026-09-13
Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad2–22026-04-18
Atletico Madrid v Real Sociedad3–22026-03-07
Real Sociedad v Atletico Madrid1–12026-01-04

La Liga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	+35	33	Barcelona won 4 of the last 5
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	+21	30	Real Madrid won 5 of the last 5
3	Atletico Madrid	12	9	1	2	+13	28	Atletico Madrid won 4 of the last 5
4	Real Betis	12	8	2	2	+5	26	Real Betis won 3 of the last 5
5	Real Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+1	22	Real Sociedad won 4 of the last 5
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	-2	18	Sevilla won 1 of the last 5
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	+4	16	Athletic Club won 2 of the last 5
8	Villarreal	12	4	3	5	+2	15	Villarreal won 2 of the last 5
9	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	+1	15	Deportivo La Coruna won 1 of the last 5
10	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	-13	14	Racing Santander won 2 of the last 5
11	Celta Vigo	12	2	7	3	0	13	Celta Vigo won 1 of the last 5
12	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-2	13	Alaves won 0 of the last 5
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	-1	12	Espanyol won 1 of the last 5
14	Rayo Vallecano	11	3	3	5	-6	12	Rayo Vallecano won 1 of the last 5
15	Getafe	12	3	3	6	-10	12	Getafe won 1 of the last 5
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	-11	12	Osasuna won 1 of the last 5
17	Levante	12	2	5	5	-5	11	Levante won 1 of the last 5
18	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10	Elche won 1 of the last 5
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-12	9	Valencia won 1 of the last 5
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	-14	5	Malaga won 0 of the last 5