Atletico Madrid v 
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid won 4 of the last 53rd1–2Real Madrid won 5 of the last 52nd
Advised bets
The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.
Our probabilities against the market
| Market | Selection | Ours | Fair | Best price | Implied | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not published yet. | ||||||
A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.
This season
| Atletico Madrid | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 9-1-2 | W-D-L | 10-0-2 |
| 2.33 | Pts / game | 2.50 |
| 1.92 | Goals for / game | 2.58 |
| 0.83 | Goals against / game | 0.83 |
| 67% | Over 2.5 | 83% |
| 42% | BTTS | 58% |
| 50% | Clean sheets | 33% |
| 8% | Failed to score | 8% |
| 4-1-1 | Home record | 5-0-0 |
| 5-0-1 | Away record | 5-0-2 |
| L1 | Streak | W5 |
2025 league matches only, computed from results on record. Atletico Madrid · Real Madrid
Full-match statistics, per game this season
Produced
| 17.4 | Shots | 15.0 |
|---|---|---|
| 6.4 | Shots on target | 6.0 |
| 5.8 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 2.50 | Cards | 2.76 |
| 11.3 | Fouls | 8.1 |
| 58 | Possession % | 51 |
| 1.98 | xG | 2.22 |
| 8 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Conceded
| 11.4 | Shots | 12.4 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1 | Shots on target | 4.3 |
| 3.1 | Corners | 3.1 |
| 1.77 | Cards | 2.88 |
| 9.9 | Fouls | 16.9 |
| 43 | Possession % | 49 |
| 0.92 | xG | 1.02 |
| 8 matches | sample | 7 matches |
Form comparison
| Atletico Madrid | Metric | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | ||
| Goals conceded | ||
| Expected goals (xG) | ||
| Big chances | ||
| Shots on target | ||
| Total shots | ||
| Touches in opp. box | ||
| Corners | ||
| Possession % | ||
| Passes | ||
| Tackles | ||
| Fouls | ||
| Offsides | ||
| Throw-ins | ||
| Yellow cards | ||
| Red cards |
Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.
Head to head
Full record →- Atletico Madrid wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Real Madrid wins
- 2
- Goals / game
- 4.50
- Over 2.5
- 100%
- Both score
- 100%
- Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid2–12026-09-20
- Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid3–22026-03-22
- Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid1–22026-01-08
- Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid5–22025-09-27