Aston Villa v Manchester City

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the marketMembers

Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Aston Villa and Manchester City
Aston Villa		Manchester City
6	Played	6
1-2-3	W-D-L	6-0-0
0.83	Pts / game	3.00
1.00	Goals for / game	2.67
1.83	Goals against / game	0.83
67%	Over 2.5	67%
50%	BTTS	50%
17%	Clean sheets	50%
50%	Failed to score	0%
0-1-2	Home record	3-0-0
1-1-1	Away record	3-0-0
D1	Streak	W6

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Aston Villa · Manchester City

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
17.5	Shots	15.5
6.5	Shots on target	5.0
1.5	Corners	6.0
2.00	Cards	1.00
10.0	Fouls	14.0
44	Possession %	60
1.50	xG	2.08
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
17.0	Shots	15.0
5.5	Shots on target	7.5
6.5	Corners	5.0
3.00	Cards	2.50
16.5	Fouls	16.5
56	Possession %	40
1.44	xG	2.29
2 matches	sample	2 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Aston Villa	Metric	Manchester City
	Goals scored
	Goals conceded
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target
	Total shots
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners
	Possession %
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards
	Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to headFull record →

Aston Villa wins: 2
Draws: 0
Manchester City wins: 0
Goals / game: 2.00
Over 2.5: 50%
Both score: 50%

Manchester City v Aston Villa1–22026-05-24
Aston Villa v Manchester City1–02025-10-26

Premier League table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Manchester City	6	6	0	0	+11	18	Manchester City won 5 of the last 5
2	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	+5	15	Arsenal won 4 of the last 5
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	+13	13	Brighton won 3 of the last 5
4	Brentford	6	2	4	0	+6	10	Brentford won 1 of the last 5
5	Everton	6	2	4	0	+3	10	Everton won 1 of the last 5
6	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	+2	10	Chelsea won 2 of the last 5
7	Leeds	6	2	3	1	+3	9	Leeds won 1 of the last 5
8	Hull City	6	2	3	1	+2	9	Hull City won 1 of the last 5
9	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	0	9	Liverpool won 2 of the last 5
10	Ipswich	6	3	0	3	-3	9	Ipswich won 2 of the last 5
11	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	-3	8	Newcastle won 2 of the last 5
12	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	-3	7	Crystal Palace won 2 of the last 5
13	Manchester United	6	1	3	2	0	6	Manchester United won 1 of the last 5
14	Coventry	6	2	0	4	-6	6	Coventry won 2 of the last 5
15	Nottingham Forest	6	1	2	3	-3	5	Nottingham Forest won 1 of the last 5
16	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	-5	5	Aston Villa won 1 of the last 5
17	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	-6	4	Sunderland won 1 of the last 5
18	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	-6	3	Bournemouth won 0 of the last 5
19	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	-6	3	Tottenham won 0 of the last 5
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	-4	2	Fulham won 0 of the last 5