Artis v Bohemians 1905

14th1–29th

17:00 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Artis		Bohemians 1905
9	Shots	21
3	Shots on target	7
3	Corners	8
11	Fouls	14
1	Yellow cards	4
1	Red cards	0
1	Offsides	0
312	Passes	527
40%	Possession %	60%
0.76	xG	1.32

Over 1.5: 73%
Over 2.5: 47%
Over 3.5: 26%
Both score: 51%

Model pick: Bohemians 1905 50%
Likely score: 1-1 13%
Expected goals: 1.00 – 1.56

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Artis	23.7%	4.22	2.88 BetVictor	34.7%	-11.0
Match result	Draw	26.6%	3.76	3.50 Betfair	28.6%	-2.0
Match result	Bohemians 1905	49.7%	2.01	2.87 Betano	34.8%	+14.8
Total goals	Over 1.5	73.1%	1.37	1.32 Betano	75.8%	-2.6
Total goals	Under 1.5	26.9%	3.72	3.90 BetVictor	25.6%	+1.2
Total goals	Over 2.5	47.2%	2.12	1.98 Betano	50.5%	-3.3
Total goals	Under 2.5	52.8%	1.89	2.02 Betano	49.5%	+3.3
Total goals	Over 3.5	25.6%	3.91	3.40 Bet365	29.4%	-3.8
Total goals	Under 3.5	74.4%	1.34	1.36 Bet365	73.5%	+0.9
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	50.6%	1.98	1.75 Bet365	57.1%	-6.6
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	49.4%	2.02	2.25 BetVictor	44.4%	+5.0

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Bohemians 1905 favoured against Artis

Our model makes Artis 24% to win this Chance Liga fixture, with the draw at 27% and Bohemians 1905 at 50%. The goal projection is 1.00 for Artis against 1.56 for Bohemians 1905 — a substantial edge to Bohemians 1905 on expected output. A combined 2.56 goals points to a cagey game with few clear chances, which puts over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 51%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. This sits in the awkward middle of the distribution, where the model has a view but not a strong one. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 13%; 0-1 11%; 1-2 9%; 0-2 9%; 0-0 8%

This season

Season records for Artis and Bohemians 1905
Artis		Bohemians 1905
14	Played	14
2-4-8	W-D-L	5-5-4
0.71	Pts / game	1.43
1.07	Goals for / game	1.07
2.00	Goals against / game	1.07
71%	Over 2.5	43%
64%	BTTS	43%
14%	Clean sheets	43%
36%	Failed to score	29%
0-2-5	Home record	3-3-0
2-2-3	Away record	2-2-4
L2	Streak	L1

2026/27 league matches only, computed from results on record. Artis · Bohemians 1905

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
11.8	Shots	13.5
4.0	Shots on target	3.7
3.6	Corners	4.8
3.00	Cards	3.20
12.2	Fouls	13.0
43	Possession %	48
1.18	xG	1.29
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
18.0	Shots	13.3
6.8	Shots on target	4.8
6.2	Corners	6.2
2.60	Cards	2.20
11.8	Fouls	10.8
57	Possession %	52
1.80	xG	1.47
5 matches	sample	6 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (5 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Artis	Metric	Bohemians 1905
1.40	Goals scored	1.60 (better)
1.00	Goals conceded	1.00
0.71	Expected goals (xG)	1.72 (better)
	Big chances
2.00	Shots on target	4.67 (better)
9.33	Total shots	12.67 (better)
	Touches in opp. box
4.67 (better)	Corners	3.67
53.3 (better)	Possession %	51.0
391	Passes	419 (better)
	Tackles
11.67 (better)	Fouls	14.00
2.33 (better)	Offsides	3.00
	Throw-ins
1.00	Yellow cards	1.00
	Red cards	0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Artis wins: 0
Draws: 0
Bohemians 1905 wins: 1
Goals / game: 3.00
Over 2.5: 100%
Both score: 100%

Artis v Bohemians 19051–22026-11-04

Chance Liga table

League table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts	Form
1	Slavia Praha	14	10	4	0	+28	34	Slavia Praha won 3 of the last 5
2	Slovan Liberec	13	8	2	3	+8	26	Slovan Liberec won 2 of the last 5
3	Mlada Boleslav	14	7	4	3	+7	25	Mlada Boleslav won 2 of the last 5
4	Sparta Praha	14	7	3	4	+12	24	Sparta Praha won 2 of the last 5
5	Sigma Olomouc	14	7	3	4	+2	24	Sigma Olomouc won 2 of the last 5
6	Teplice	14	6	3	5	0	21	Teplice won 1 of the last 5
7	FK Jablonec	14	6	3	5	-2	21	FK Jablonec won 2 of the last 5
8	Plzen	14	5	5	4	+7	20	Plzen won 3 of the last 5
9	Bohemians 1905	14	5	5	4	0	20	Bohemians 1905 won 2 of the last 5
10	Zbrojovka Brno	14	6	2	6	-5	20	Zbrojovka Brno won 1 of the last 5
11	Hradec Králové	14	5	3	6	-1	18	Hradec Králové won 1 of the last 5
12	Pardubice	14	5	2	7	-1	17	Pardubice won 3 of the last 5
13	Baník Ostrava	13	4	2	7	-13	14	Baník Ostrava won 1 of the last 5
14	Artis	14	2	4	8	-13	10	Artis won 1 of the last 5
15	Slovácko	14	2	4	8	-13	10	Slovácko won 2 of the last 5
16	Zlin	14	0	3	11	-16	3	Zlin won 0 of the last 5