Anstey Nomads v Macclesfield

0–3

18:45 UTC

Match statistics

Full-time statistics
Anstey Nomads		Macclesfield
6	Shots	7
4	Shots on target	4
4	Corners	4
—	Fouls	—
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
—	Offsides	—
—	Passes	—
49%	Possession %	51%
—	xG	—

Over 1.5: 84%
Over 2.5: 63%
Over 3.5: 41%
Both score: 64%

Model pick: Anstey Nomads 44%
Likely score: 1-1 11%
Expected goals: 1.77 – 1.47

Advised bets

No advised bet on this fixture. The available prices are close enough to our own numbers that there is nothing worth backing. Most fixtures end up here, and manufacturing a selection for every game is exactly how tipster records get destroyed.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
Market	Selection	Ours	Fair	Best price	Implied	Gap
Match result	Anstey Nomads	44.4%	2.25	3.80 Betfair	26.3%	+18.1
Match result	Draw	24.0%	4.16	4.00 Dafabet	25.0%	-1.0
Match result	Macclesfield	31.6%	3.17	1.94 Dafabet	51.5%	-20.0
Total goals	Over 1.5	83.9%	1.19	1.21 Betano	82.6%	+1.2
Total goals	Under 1.5	16.1%	6.20	4.20 BetVictor	23.8%	-7.7
Total goals	Over 2.5	62.8%	1.59	1.70 Bet365	58.8%	+4.0
Total goals	Under 2.5	37.2%	2.69	2.15 BetVictor	46.5%	-9.3
Total goals	Over 3.5	40.6%	2.46	2.70 BetVictor	37.0%	+3.5
Total goals	Under 3.5	59.4%	1.68	1.44 Betano	69.4%	-10.0
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — Yes	64.3%	1.55	1.62 William Hill	61.7%	+2.6
Both teams to score	Both teams to score — No	35.7%	2.81	2.25 BetVictor	44.4%	-8.8

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

Anstey Nomads favoured against Macclesfield

Our model makes Anstey Nomads 44% to win this FA Cup fixture, with the draw at 24% and Macclesfield at 32%. The goal projection is 1.77 for Anstey Nomads against 1.47 for Macclesfield — a clear edge to Anstey Nomads on expected output. A combined 3.24 goals points to a high-tempo game with chances at both ends, which puts over 2.5 at 63% and both teams to score at 64%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, though no individual scoreline is ever likely in absolute terms — that is the nature of a low-scoring sport. Note that even our favoured side is under 45% to win outright, so this is a fixture where the draw does a lot of work and confident calls are not warranted. All figures come from a Dixon–Coles adjusted Poisson model fitted on recent results and expected goals. They are estimates, not forecasts of fact.

Most likely scores: 1-1 11%; 2-1 9%; 1-2 7%; 2-2 7%; 1-0 6%

This season

Season records for Anstey Nomads and Macclesfield
Anstey Nomads		Macclesfield
5	Played	6
3-1-1	W-D-L	2-3-1
2.00	Pts / game	1.50
2.00	Goals for / game	1.50
1.40	Goals against / game	1.33
80%	Over 2.5	67%
60%	BTTS	67%
20%	Clean sheets	17%
20%	Failed to score	17%
1-0-1	Home record	0-2-0
2-1-0	Away record	2-1-1
L1	Streak	L1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Anstey Nomads · Macclesfield

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
6.0	Shots	11.0
4.0	Shots on target	5.3
4.0	Corners	5.0
1.00	Cards	2.33
—	Fouls	10.0
49	Possession %	50
—	xG	—
1 matches	sample	4 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
7.0	Shots	12.7
4.0	Shots on target	4.3
4.0	Corners	7.0
3.00	Cards	1.33
—	Fouls	8.0
51	Possession %	50
—	xG	—
1 matches	sample	4 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches (4 in sample), captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
Anstey Nomads	Metric	Macclesfield
2.00	Goals scored	2.00
1.50	Goals conceded	1.40 (better)
	Expected goals (xG)
	Big chances
	Shots on target	8.00
	Total shots	16.00
	Touches in opp. box
	Corners	6.00
	Possession %	55.0
	Passes
	Tackles
	Fouls
	Offsides
	Throw-ins
	Yellow cards	4.00
	Red cards	0.00

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →

Anstey Nomads wins: 0
Draws: 1
Macclesfield wins: 1
Goals / game: 2.50
Over 2.5: 50%
Both score: 50%

Anstey Nomads v Macclesfield0–32026-10-20
Macclesfield v Anstey Nomads1–12026-10-17