Predicted Edge

Alaves v Real Sociedad

Alaves won 0 of the last 512th2–3Real Sociedad won 4 of the last 55th

Advised bets

The forecast for this fixture is published at least 24 hours before kick-off.

Our probabilities against the market

Our probability and fair price for every market we publish, next to the best price we last captured and the probability it implies (bookmaker margin included).
MarketSelectionOursFairBest priceImpliedGap
Not published yet.

A positive gap means our probability is higher than the price implies. That is information, not a recommendation: a pick is only published where the gap clears our bar after allowing for model error, and those appear above.

This season

Season records for Alaves and Real Sociedad
Alaves Real Sociedad
12Played12
3-4-5W-D-L7-1-4
1.08Pts / game1.83
1.25Goals for / game1.75
1.42Goals against / game1.67
50%Over 2.575%
58%BTTS67%
33%Clean sheets17%
25%Failed to score25%
3-1-2Home record4-1-1
0-3-3Away record3-0-3
D1StreakW1

2026 league matches only, computed from results on record. Alaves · Real Sociedad

Full-match statistics, per game this season

Produced

Season per-match averages, produced
11.3Shots15.7
3.4Shots on target4.7
3.0Corners6.1
1.68Cards2.48
13.1Fouls12.3
41Possession %53
0.89xG1.73
7 matchessample7 matches

Conceded

Season per-match averages, conceded
13.6Shots14.7
4.6Shots on target4.4
4.4Corners5.4
2.00Cards1.88
13.7Fouls9.6
59Possession %47
1.55xG1.70
7 matchessample7 matches

Form comparison

Per-match averages over the last 5 matches, captured when this prediction was published and never recomputed since.
AlavesMetricReal Sociedad
Goals scored
Goals conceded
Expected goals (xG)
Big chances
Shots on target
Total shots
Touches in opp. box
Corners
Possession %
Passes
Tackles
Fouls
Offsides
Throw-ins
Yellow cards
Red cards

Big chances, Touches in opp. box, Throw-ins are not supplied by our current data provider (api-football). Rather than estimate them and present the estimate as a measurement, we show nothing.

Head to head

Full record →
Alaves wins
1
Draws
1
Real Sociedad wins
1
Goals / game
4.00
Over 2.5
67%
Both score
67%